Invasive species and climate change are leading threats to freshwater ecosystems. In the Columbia River Basin (CRB), nonnative fishes are a critical consideration in salmon recovery, yet managers lament a lack of distribution information. Combining a species distribution model (SDM) with environmental DNA (eDNA), we locate range boundary regions of nonnative smallmouth bass (Micropterus dolomieu) and evaluate its overlap with native salmonids. A combination of thermal, hydrological, and geomorphic variables predict that smallmouth bass is distributed across ∼18 000 river kilometres and overlaps with 3%–62% of rearing habitat of salmonids (species-dependent) in the CRB. Under a moderate climate change scenario, smallmouth bass is predicted to expand its range by two-thirds (totaling ∼30 000 river kilometres) by 2080. Basin-wide models were sufficiently accurate to identify upstream invasion extents to within 15 km of the eDNA-based boundary, and including eDNA data improved model performance at critical range boundary regions without sacrificing broadscale model performance. Our study highlights how eDNA approaches can supplement large geospatial data sets to result in more accurate SDM predictions, guiding nonnative species management.

Studying the dynamics of species' borders can provide insight into the mechanisms limiting or promoting range expansion in response to environmental change. In the John Day River, Oregon (USA), rising stream temperatures are facilitating the upstream expansion of invasive smallmouth bass Micropterus dolomieu. Here, where smallmouth bass occupy the upstream limit of its thermal tolerance, we explore population structure and seasonal movement patterns to elucidate the environmental conditions and individual traits that define front edge (where individuals reside year-round) and leading edge (where individuals colonize, but may not establish) limits to its upstream distribution. Reporting on a multi-year, spatially extensive riverscape survey, our results show dramatic ebbs and flows of seasonal occupancies due to individual movement with an overall trend of upstream expansion. We revealed distinct front and leading edge invasion extents, each constrained by different ecological conditions. The front edge is largely constrained by the ability for juveniles to survive an overwinter starvation period, whereas the leading edge is associated with adult growth potential and seasonal hydrological conditions. We also found key morphological traits associated with more mobile individuals. By providing mechanistic insight into the factors that promote or limit range expansion of an invasive riverine species, our study enhances the ability to predict future range shifts and provides critical information to managers tasked with restricting further expansion.

Climate change and land‐use practices are causing widespread warming of streams, forcing resident species to adapt or migrate. For instance, in the John Day River, Oregon (Columbia River basin), rising temperatures are facilitating the range expansion of Smallmouth Bass Micropterus dolomieu into critical salmon rearing habitat. Understanding Smallmouth Bass reproductive ecology at its range boundaries is integral to understanding and ultimately predicting its upstream range expansion. We addressed this knowledge gap by exploring potential temperature‐mediated effects on Smallmouth Bass reproduction at the leading edge of its nonnative riverine distribution in the Pacific Northwest. We used continuous snorkel surveys to characterize its upstream extent in the North Fork John Day River, where we observed spawning patterns and measured adult nest‐guarding male size, fecundity, brood development, habitat attributes, and nest success over 2 years (2014, 2015). We found a pattern of asynchronous and protracted spawn timing across the leading invasion edge, >90% nest success, and few changes in reproductive attributes (e.g., fecundity, brood development) as the thermal regime became increasingly colder. We also found increased selectivity of nest substrata and decreased guarding requirements in upstream habitats. These results suggest that reproductive success does not limit the upstream range expansion of Smallmouth Bass and highlight potential ecological benefits that may offset the energetic demands associated with dispersing upstream. Overall, our findings enhance the current understanding of how reproduction influences range expansion of nonnative Smallmouth Bass populations in streams, enabling us to better guide managers tasked with minimizing the spread of this nonnative species in the future. Received November 2, 2015; accepted February 1, 2016 Published online June 15, 2016

No abstract

Summary Natural resource agencies are increasingly required to prioritise management of multiple non‐native aquatic plants (macrophytes) in freshwater ecosystems. Characterising the consequences of invasions for ecological processes and corresponding ecosystem services is fundamental to this decision‐making process, but requires an understanding of impacts across physical, chemical, and biological responses. Accordingly, we evaluated the multi‐trophic impacts of the invasive macrophyte Myriophyllum aquaticum (Haloragaceae; parrotfeather) along the mainstem Chehalis River, Washington, U.S.A. We examined invertebrate, plant and fish community responses to varying degrees of parrotfeather abundance and simultaneously characterised variation in physical structure and dissolved oxygen (DO) across the dominant native and non‐native plant species. DO concentrations were significantly reduced and approached hypoxic levels in areas dominated by parrotfeather compared with native vegetation. Increased structural complexity, volume and biomass of parrotfeather was associated with increased diversity of epiphytic invertebrates. However, these more diverse invertebrate assemblages were dominated by amphipods, whereas native macrophytes were characterised by cladocerans, chironomids and gastropods. Non‐native fishes (primarily centrarchid species) were more strongly associated with sites where parrotfeather was present and diversity of non‐native fishes was positively correlated along a gradient of parrotfeather abundance. Native fish associated with parrotfeather areas were those that tend to be tolerant of degraded or lower quality habitats. We saw little evidence of exclusion of other macrophytes; native and non‐native plant diversity and abundance were positively correlated with the parrotfeather gradient. This may reflect that analysis was done at a site level, and competitive dominance might be apparent by changes in species richness at smaller (plot) scales or over longer periods. Alternatively, parrotfeather may demonstrate minimal effects on native plant composition. Given the effects observed across multiple habitat characteristics and biota, parrotfeather appears to be a highly impactful invader where it establishes. Many of the changes we observed appear to derive from the emergent leaves and dense mat formation of parrotfeather compared with a submersed structure more typical of the native community. Our results suggest that managers should specifically consider contrasting characteristics between non‐native and native physical structure when assessing and prioritising threats of invasive macrophytes.