The participants of the public–private partnership projects have different parts in developing the concessions, hence different perspectives and goals. Besides, the public–private partnership concession agreement has many parameters and components, and a change in one component will have a considerable impact on other components. Thus, determining the optimal value for different concession parameters by providing a series of feasible contribution options was investigated in this paper using two different multi-objective optimization models: genetic algorithm and Thompson sampling. Two case studies (the US I-495 and the I-4 Ultimate) were used to construct and validate the results of the model. The model results showed that the socio-economic sustainability performance increases as the private equity increases and the public equity decreases. The results also showed that the socio-economic sustainability performance increases as the concession price (user-fee) decreases. Having these contribution options could facilitate the decision-making process for both the public and private parties. The genetic algorithm model obtained faster optimization results when compared to the Thompson sampling model; however, the Thompson sampling obtained better results. Moreover, the use of the model could improve the socio-economic sustainability performance of the public–private partnership projects.
Public-private partnerships (PPP) have many critical socio-economic concession variables that need to be determined during the negotiation of the PPP contracts. However, their determination presents complexities to decision-makers due to these components’ interdependencies. Assessing the dynamic and interdependent relationships between the socio-economic concession components can enhance the development of PPP concessions. System dynamics (SD) techniques have provided a holistic system understanding of several complex structures from a holistic perspective. This paper aims to build a novel socio-economic SD model to facilitate the decision-making process for PPP projects via determining and assessing the adequate concession period, concession price (user-payment), government subsidy, and the capital structure (in the form of equity). A case study for a PPP toll-road project (I-4 Ultimate) is utilized to validate the proposed model’s results. Higher concession prices increased net present value (NPV) levels and PPP effectiveness. Simulation results showed that the variables are interdependent, and a change in the value of one variable will lead to a change in the values of the other variables. The results also showed that the concession price (user-payment) has a major influence on the concession variables. The model proposed in this study gives a holistic perspective of the complex interplay between PPP effectiveness and several socio-economic variables and is potentially valuable in facilitating and enhancing the decision-making process for PPP projects. While many scholarly discussions have been fronted on the use of system dynamics modeling in PPPs, the specific and unique combination of concession variables is the ultimate contribution of this study to the existing body of knowledge.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.