No abstract

Radiotherapy uses high doses of energy to eradicate cancer cells and control tumors. Various treatment schedules have been developed and tried in clinical trials, yet significant obstacles remain to improving the radiotherapy fractionation. Genetic and non-genetic cellular diversity within tumors can lead to different radiosensitivity among cancer cells that can affect radiation treatment outcome. We propose a minimal mathematical model to study the effect of tumor heterogeneity and repair in different radiation treatment schedules. We perform stochastic and deterministic simulations to estimate model parameters using available experimental data. Our results suggest that gross tumor volume reduction is insufficient to control the disease if a fraction of radioresistant cells survives therapy. If cure cannot be achieved, protocols should balance volume reduction with minimal selection for radioresistant cells. We show that the most efficient treatment schedule is dependent on biology and model parameter values and, therefore, emphasize the need for careful tumor-specific model calibration before clinically actionable conclusions can be drawn.

No abstract

Background: HCV elimination requires a thorough understanding of the care cascade. A direct-acting antiviral (DAA)-era description of the care cascade has not been undertaken in Ontario, Canada’s most populous jurisdiction. Our primary objective was to describe the current population-level care cascade in the general Ontario population and among key risk groups ─ baby boomers, immigrants, and individuals experiencing residential instability. The secondary objective was to identify predictors of engagement. Methods: We conducted a population-based cohort study of Ontario residents undergoing HCV testing between January 1, 1999, and December 31, 2018, and mapped the care cascade [antibody-diagnosed, RNA tested, RNA positive, genotyped, treated, achieved sustained virologic response, reinfected/relapsed] as of December 31, 2018. The cascade was stratified by risk groups. Cause-specific hazard modeling was used to identify demographic, and socioeconomic predictors of engagement with key steps of the cascade. Results: Among 108,428 Ontario residents living with an HCV antibody diagnosis, 88% received confirmatory RNA testing; of these, 62% tested positive and 94% of positive tests were genotyped. Of those with confirmed viremia, 53% initiated treatment and 76% of treated individuals achieved sustained virologic response, while ~1% experienced reinfection or relapse. Males, older birth cohorts, long-term residents, those with a history of substance use disorder and social marginalization (eg, material deprivation, residential instability), and those initially diagnosed in the pre-DAA era exhibited lower rates of engagement with almost every step of HCV care. Conclusions: Despite DAA era improvements, treatment initiation remains a major gap. HCV screening and linkage-to-treatment, particularly for those with a history of substance use disorder and social marginalization, will be needed to equitably close gaps in HCV care in the province.

Background: Hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination requires a thorough understanding of the care cascade. A direct-acting-antiviral (DAA)-era description of the care cascade has not been undertaken in Ontario, Canada. Our primary objective was to describe the current population-level care cascade in the general Ontario population and among key risk-groups ─ baby-boomers, immigrants, and individuals experiencing residential instability. The secondary objective was to identify predictors of engagement. Methods: We conducted a population-based cohort study of Ontario residents undergoing HCV testing between January 1, 1999, and December 31, 2018, and mapped the care cascade [antibody diagnosed, RNA tested, RNA positive, genotyped, treated, achieved sustained virologic response (SVR), reinfected/relapsed] as of December 31, 2018. The cascade was stratified by risk groups. Cause-specific hazard modeling was used to identify demographic, and socioeconomic predictors of engagement with key steps of the cascade. Results: Among 108,428 Ontario residents living with an HCV antibody diagnosis, 88% received confirmatory RNA testing; of these, 62% tested positive and 94% of positive tests were genotyped. Of those with confirmed viremia, 53% initiated treatment, and 76% of treated individuals achieved SVR, while ~1% experienced reinfection or relapse. Males, older birth cohorts, long-term residents, those with a history of substance use disorder and social marginalization (e.g., material deprivation, residential instability), and those initially diagnosed in the pre-DAA era exhibited lower rates of engagement with almost every step of HCV care. Conclusions: Despite DAA-era improvements, treatment initiation remains a major gap. HCV screening and linkage-to-treatment, particularly for those with a history of substance use disorder and social marginalization, will be needed to equitably close gaps in HCV care in Ontario.