Purpose
The purpose of this study is to select the most accurate and the most efficient method in estimating Weibull parameters at Agadir region in Morocco.
Design/methodology/approach
In this paper, Weibull distribution is used to model the wind speed in hourly time series format. Since several methods are used to adjust the Weibull distribution to the measured data, in reporting and analyzing the easiest and the most effective method, seven methods have been investigated, namely, the graphical method (GM), the maximum likelihood method (MLM), the empirical method of Justus (EMJ), the empirical method of Lysen (EML), the energy pattern factor method (EPFM), Mabchour’s method (MMab) and the method of moments (MM).
Findings
According to the statistical analysis tools (the coefficient of determination, root mean square error and chi-square test), it was found that for five months, the MLM presents more efficiency, and for four months, EMJ is ranked first and it is ranked second for February. To select only one method, the selected methods (MLM and EMJ) were compared by calculating the error in estimating the power density using Weibull distribution adjusted by those methods. The average error was found to be −0.51 and −4.56 per cent for MLM and EMJ, respectively.
Originality/value
This investigation is the first of its kind for the studied region. To estimate the available wind power at Agadir in Morocco, investors can directly use MLM to determine the Weibull parameters at this site.
This paper presents a stabilization control for positive, Takagi-Sugeno fuzzy systems subject to Markov jump parameters. In the continuous-time formulation, the approach guarantees mean-square stability with constraints on the control—the main condition hinges upon linear matrix inequalities. The proposed method’s usefulness is illustrated by a practical-oriented example, which was designed to control the output voltage of a DC-DC boost converter subject to both voltage and load variations driven by a Markov chain.
To estimate a wind turbine output, optimize its dimensioning, and predict the economic profitability and risks of a wind energy project, wind speed distribution modeling is crucial. Many researchers use directly Weibull distribution basing on a priori acceptance. However, Weibull does not fit some wind speed regimes. The goal of this work is to model the wind speed distribution at Agadir. For that, we compare the accuracy of four distributions (Weibull, Rayleigh, Gamma, and lognormal) which have given good results in this yield. The goodness-of-fit tests are applied to select the effective distribution. The obtained results explain that Weibull distribution is fitting the histogram of observations better than the other distributions. The analysis deals with comparing the error in estimating the annual wind power density using the examined distributions. It was found that Weibull distribution presents minimum error. Thus, wind energy assessors in Agadir can use directly Weibull distribution basing on a scientific decision made via statistical tests. Moreover, assessors worldwide can use the followed methodology to model their wind speed measurements.
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