Relapse remains the leading cause of treatment failure in children with acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) undergoing allogeneic haematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). We retrospectively investigated the prognostic role of minimal residual disease (MRD) before and after HSCT in 119 children transplanted in complete remission (CR). MRD was measured by polymerase chain reaction in bone marrow samples collected pre-HSCT and during the first and third trimesters after HSCT (post-HSCT1 and post-HSCT3). The overall event-free survival (EFS) was 50%. The cumulative incidence of relapse and non-relapse mortality was 41% and 9%. Any degree of detectable pre-HSCT MRD was associated with poor outcome: EFS was 39% and 18% in patients with MRD positivity <1 × 10 and ≥1 × 10 , respectively, versus 73% in MRD-negative patients (P < 0·001). This effect was maintained in different disease remissions, but low-level MRD had a very strong negative impact only in patients transplanted in second or further CR. Also, MRD after HSCT enabled patients to be stratified, with increasing MRD between post-HSCT1 and post-HSCT3 clearly defining cohorts with a different outcome. MRD is an important prognostic factor both before and after transplantation. Given that MRD persistence after HSCT is associated with dismal outcome, these patients could benefit from early discontinuation of immunosuppression, or pre-emptive immuno-therapy.

Our data demonstrated that MDD studied at diagnosis by MFC could represent a useful prognostic tool in childhood LBL and further application for better stratification is warranted.

Minimal residual disease (MRD) is the most powerful prognostic factor in pediatric acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL). Real-time quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RQ-PCR) represents the gold standard for molecular MRD assessment and risk-based stratification of front-line treatment. In the protocols of the Italian Association of Pediatric Hematology and Oncology (AIEOP) and the Berlin-Frankfurth-Munschen (BFM) group AIEOP-BFM ALL2009 and ALL2017, B-lineage ALL patients with high RQ-PCR-MRD at day+33 and positive at day+78 are defined slow early responders (SERs). Based on results of the AIEOP-BFM ALL2000 study, these patients are treated as high-risk also when positive MRD signal at day +78 is below the lower limit of quantification of RQ-PCR (“positive not-quantifiable,” POS-NQ). To assess whether droplet digital polymerase chain reaction (ddPCR) could improve patients’ risk definition, we analyzed MRD in 209 pediatric B-lineage ALL cases classified by RQ-PCR as POS-NQ and/or negative (NEG) at days +33 and/or +78 in the AIEOP-BFM ALL2000 trial. ddPCR MRD analysis was performed on 45 samples collected at day +78 from SER patients, who had RQ-PCR MRD ≥ 5.0 × 10 –4 at day+33 and POS-NQ at day+78 and were treated as medium risk (MR). The analysis identified 13 of 45 positive quantifiable cases. Most relapses occurred in this patients’ subgroup, while ddPCR NEG or ddPCR-POS-NQ patients had a significantly better outcome ( P < 0.001). Overall, in 112 MR cases and 52 standard-risk patients, MRD negativity and POS-NQ were confirmed by the ddPCR analysis except for a minority of cases, for whom no differences in outcome were registered. These data indicate that ddPCR is more accurate than RQ-PCR in the measurement of MRD, particularly in late follow-up time points, and may thus allow improving patients’ stratification in ALL protocols.

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