CNN originates from image processing and is not commonly known as a forecasting technique in time-series analysis which depends on the quality of input data. One of the methods to improve the quality is by smoothing the data. This study introduces a novel hybrid exponential smoothing using CNN called Smoothed-CNN (S-CNN). The method of combining tactics outperforms the majority of individual solutions in forecasting. The S-CNN was compared with the original CNN method and other forecasting methods such as Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). The dataset is a year time-series of daily website visitors. Since there are no special rules for using the number of hidden layers, the Lucas number was used. The results show that S-CNN is better than MLP and LSTM, with the best MSE of 0.012147693 using 76 hidden layers at 80%:20% data composition.
Educational games enable students to learn and play. The use of educational games as learning media can also encourage users to discover and build their own knowledge of learning. The purpose of this study is to show the impact of using educational games on student learning outcomes. Educational games can be used as an alternative choice as a learning media. The research instruments used were post test and pre test. Data analysis was done by comparing the results of the post test and pre test. This analysis was conducted to see whether there were changes in student learning outcomes. The results shows that students’ learning outcome are increase by implementing educational games.
The need for accurate time-series results is badly demanding. LSTM has been applied for forecasting time series, which is generated when variables are observed at discrete and equal time intervals. Nevertheless, the problem of determining hyperparameters with a relatively high random rate will reduce the accuracy of the prediction results. This paper aims to promote LSTM with tuned-PSO and Bifold-Attention mechanism. PSO optimizes LSTM hyperparameters, and Bifold-attention mechanism selects the optimal input for LSTM. An accurate, adaptive, and robust time-series forecasting model is the main contribution, compared with ARIMA, MLP, LSTM, PSO-LSTM, A-LSTM, and PSO-A-LSTM. The model comparison is based on the accuracy of each model in forecasting Beijing PM2.5, Beijing Multi-Site, Air Quality, Appliances Energy, Wind Speed, and Traffic Flow. Proposed PSO Bifold-Attention LSTM has lower MAPE and RMSE than baselines. In other words, the model outperformed all LSTM base models in this study. The proposed model's accuracy is adaptable in daily, weekly, and monthly multivariate time-series datasets. This ground-breaking innovation is valuable for time-series analysis research, particularly the implementation of deep learning for time-series forecasting.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.