A structured and robust methodology of modeling and simulation can be available through modular stochastic timed Petri nets, including experiments that allow designers to simulate the processes involved in ore production on well-founded estimates. This prerogative guides an experimental research based on real data from an Brazilian open pit mine operation. Three basic simple modules allows to achieve complex models for a real mine. The difference between simulated and measured average productivities are small when compared to an analytic model for the bottleneck and a model implemented in discrete event system language SIMAN, which also validates the simple truck dispatch rule proposed in this paper. As results of the experiment, we derived a valid simulation structure for the open-pit mining process using Petri nets. It was obtained a behavioral evaluation of the efficiency of the structure according to variations in the probability distribution function. INDEX TERMS Design techniques, open pit mines, stochastic experiments, stochastic timed petri nets.
Esse artigo tem como objetivo fazer uma análise sobre o algoritmo NN*. Foi proposto um deslocamento no ponto de aleatoriedade de base por meio de duas propostas, a fim de obter uma otimização em relação ao algoritmo NN*. Após alteração, foram obtidos percentuais de ganhos na margem de até 24% sobre os valores da literatura.
Background In Belo Horizonte, a city with 3,000,000 inhabitants, a survey was performed in six hospitals, between July 2016 and June 2018, about surgical site infection (SSI) in patients undergoing clean surgery procedures. The main objective is to statistically evaluate such incidences and enable an analysis of the SSI predictive power, through MLP (Multilayer Perceptron) pattern recognition algorithms. Methods Through the Hospital Infection Control Committees (CCIH) of the hospitals, a data collection on SSI was carried out through the software SACIH - Automated System for Hospital Infection Control. So, three procedures were performed: a treatment of the collected database for use of intact samples; a statistical analysis on the profile of the collected hospitals; an evaluation of the predictive power of five types of MLPs (Backpropagation Standard, Momentum, Resilient Propagation, Weight Decay and Quick Propagation) for SSI prediction. The MLPs were tested with 3, 5, 7 and 10 neurons in the hidden layer and with a division of the database for the resampling process (65% or 75% for testing, 35% or 25% for validation). They were compared by measuring the AUC (Area Under the Curve - ranging from 0 to 1) presented for each of the configurations. Results From 45,990 records, 12,811 were able for analysis. The statistical analysis results were: the average age is 49 years old (predominantly between 30 and 50); the surgeries had an average time of 134.13 minutes; the average hospital stay is 4 days (from 0 to 200 days), the death rate reached 1% and the SSI 1.49%. A maximum prediction power of 0.742 was found. Conclusion There was a loss of 60% of the database samples due to the presence of noise. However, it was possible to have a relevant sample to assess the profile of these six hospitals. The predictive process, presented some configurations with results that reached 0.742, what promises the use of the structure for the monitoring of automated SSI for patients submitted to surgeries considered clean. To optimize data collection, enable other hospitals to use the prediction tool and minimize noise from the database, two mobile application were developed: one for monitoring the patient in the hospital and other for monitoring after hospital discharge. The SSI prediction analysis tool is available at www.nois.org.br. Disclosures All Authors: No reported disclosures
Background: In 5 hospitals in Belo Horizonte (population, 3 million) between July 2016 and June 2018, a survey was performed regarding surgical site infection (SSI). We statistically evaluated SSI incidents and optimized the power to predict SSI through pattern recognition algorithms based on support vector machines (SVMs). Methods: Data were collected on SSIs at 5 different hospitals. The hospital infection control committees (CCIHs) of the hospitals collected all data used in the analysis during their routine SSI surveillance procedures; these data were sent to the NOIS (Nosocomial Infection Study) Project. NOIS uses SACIH software (an automated hospital infection control system) to collect data from hospitals that participate voluntarily in the project. In the NOIS, 3 procedures were performed: (1) a treatment of the database collected for use of intact samples; (2) a statistical analysis on the profile of the hospitals collected; and (3) an assessment of the predictive power of SVM with a nonlinear separation process varying in configurations including kernel function (Laplace, Radial Basis, Hyperbolic Tangent and Bessel) and the k-fold cross-validation–based resampling process (ie, the use of data varied according to the amount of folders that cross and combine the evaluated data, being k = 3, 5, 6, 7, and 10). The data were compared by measuring the area under the curve (AUC; range, 0–1) for each of the configurations. Results: From 13,383 records, 7,565 were usable, and SSI incidence was 2.0%. Most patients were aged 35–62 years; the average duration of surgery was 101 minutes, but 76% of surgeries lasted >2 hours. The mean hospital length of stay without SSI was 4 days versus 17 days for the SSI cases. The survey data showed that even with a low number of SSI cases, the prediction rate for this specific surgery was 0.74, which was 14% higher than the rate reported in the literature. Conclusions: Despite the high noise index of the database, it was possible to sample relevant data for the evaluation of general surgery patients. For the predictive process, our results were >0.50 and were 14% better than those reported in the literature. However, the database requires more SSI case samples because only 2% of positive samples unbalanced the database. To optimize data collection and to enable other hospitals to use the SSI prediction tool, a mobile application was developed (available at www.sacihweb.com).Funding: NoneDisclosures: None
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