Parameter estimation for a parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation in one space dimension is studied observing the solution field on a discrete grid in a fixed bounded domain. Considering an infill asymptotic regime in both coordinates, we prove central limit theorems for realized quadratic variations based on temporal and spatial increments as well as on double increments in time and space. Resulting method of moments estimators for the diffusivity and the volatility parameter inherit the asymptotic normality and can be constructed robustly with respect to the sampling frequencies in time and space. Upper and lower bounds reveal that in general the optimal convergence rate for joint estimation of the parameters is slower than the usual parametric rate. The theoretical results are illustrated in a numerical example.
Generalizing an idea of Davie and Gaines [4], we present a method for the simulation of fully discrete samples of the solution to the stochastic heat equation on an interval. We provide a condition for the validity of the approximation, which holds particularly when the number of temporal and spatial observations tends to infinity. Hereby, the quality of the approximation is measured in total variation distance. In a simulation study we calculate temporal and spatial quadratic variations from sample paths generated both via our method and via naive truncation of the Fourier series representation of the process. Hereby, the results provided by our method are more accurate at a considerably lower computational cost.
Parameter estimation for a parabolic linear stochastic partial differential equation in one space dimension is studied observing the solution field on a discrete grid in a fixed bounded domain. Considering an infill asymptotic regime in both coordinates, we prove central limit theorems for realized quadratic variations based on temporal and spatial increments as well as on double increments in time and space. Resulting method of moments estimators for the diffusivity and the volatility parameter inherit the asymptotic normality and can be constructed robustly with respect to the sampling frequencies in time and space. Upper and lower bounds reveal that in general the optimal convergence rate for joint estimation of the parameters is slower than the usual parametric rate. The theoretical results are illustrated in a numerical example.
In this article we consider a family of real-valued diffusion processes on the time interval [0, 1] indexed by their prescribed initial valuex ∈ Ê and another point in space, y ∈ Ê. We first present an easy-to-check condition on their drift and diffusion coefficients ensuring that the diffusion is pinned in y at time t = 1. Our main result then concerns the following question: can this family of pinned diffusions be obtained as the bridges either of a Gaussian Markov process or of an Itô diffusion? We eventually illustrate our precise answer with several examples.
Nonparametric estimation for semilinear SPDEs, namely stochastic reaction-diffusion equations in one space dimension, is studied. We consider observations of the solution field on a discrete grid in time and space with infill asymptotics in both coordinates. Firstly, based on a precise analysis of the Hölder regularity of the solution process and its nonlinear component, we show that the asymptotic properties of diffusivity and volatility estimators derived from realized quadratic variations in the linear setup generalize to the semilinear SPDE. In particular, we obtain a rate-optimal joint estimator of the two parameters. Secondly, we derive a nonparametric estimator for the reaction function specifying the underlying equation. The estimate is chosen from a finite-dimensional function space based on a simple least squares criterion. Oracle inequalities with respect to both the empirical and usual L 2 -risk provide conditions for the estimator to achieve the usual nonparametric rate of convergence. Adaptivity is provided via model selection.
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