According to the current study, based on the network approach for the allocation of economic resources and planning of road safety strategies, calibration of injury crash rate prediction models for specific target collision type is important because of the range of harms that are caused by different collision types. From these studies it is apparent that the age and gender of drivers considered together further refines how those factors contribute to crashes. Countermeasures (structural road interventions and/or safety awareness campaigns) can be planned to reduce the highest rate of injury crash for each gender and road scenario: the awareness campaigns cannot be generalized or vague but must be organized by age and gender, because this study shows that crash dynamics alter as these factors change, with consideration for the varying psychological traits of the driver groups. Before-and-after safety evaluations can be used to check the safety benefits of improvements carried out on the roadways, within budget constraints for improvement or safety compliance investments for future operation. Supplemental materials are available for this article. Go to the publisher's online edition of Traffic Injury Prevention to view the supplemental file.
The research aims to explore the effects of geometric road features on driver speed behaviour in order to identify unsafe road segments where high reductions in speed between successive road elements occur. The sample involves two-lane rural roads on flat terrain (vertical grade less than 5%) in Southern Italy, totalling 184 km without spiral transition curves between the tangent segments and circular elements. The testing was carried out on 567 study sites, of which 248 are on circular curves and 319 on tangents. Speed data collection was carried out in environmental and traffic conditions using a laser. The conditions were the following: dry roads, free flow conditions, daylight hours and good weather conditions. The main goal was to calibrate and validate different operating speed prediction models: a) one model on tangent segments; b) one model on circular curves; c) only one model to be used at the same time on tangents and circular curves. The validation process involved almost 10% of the total road network length, that was removed from the calibration phase. The speed measurements of each of the first two datasets (a, b) were grouped into ten homogeneous substrates while for the remaining dataset (c) sixteen substrates were defined by using a hard c-means algorithm. Two statistical criteria were used to remove anomalous operating speed values from each group of three datasets, namely, the Chauvenet criterion and the Vivatrat method. The first criterion was preferred in the final process of model selection. The results of the first filtering procedure showed more homogeneous samples that guaranteed a higher correlation coefficient and lower residuals of the predictive models during the validation phase than the Vivatrat method. The models were developed using an Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) method. The explanatory variables were total segment length, lane width, curvature of the road element, the curvature change rate on homogeneous road segments, and the number of residential driveways per km. ANOVA and additional synthetic statistical parameters were assessed to check the effectiveness of using a single general model to predict operating speeds at the same time on tangents and on circular curves alike. The results suggested the reliability of this hypothesis and its effectiveness in bringing advantages during the application phase.
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