Autonomous vehicles are expected to drive in complex scenarios with several independent non cooperating agents. Path planning for safely navigating in such environments can not just rely on perceiving present location and motion of other agents. It requires instead to predict such variables in a far enough future. In this paper we address the problem of multimodal trajectory prediction exploiting a Memory Augmented Neural Network. Our method learns past and future trajectory embeddings using recurrent neural networks and exploits an associative external memory to store and retrieve such embeddings. Trajectory prediction is then performed by decoding in-memory future encodings conditioned with the observed past. We incorporate scene knowledge in the decoding state by learning a CNN on top of semantic scene maps. Memory growth is limited by learning a writing controller based on the predictive capability of existing embeddings. We show that our method is able to natively perform multi-modal trajectory prediction obtaining state-of-the art results on three datasets. Moreover, thanks to the non-parametric nature of the memory module, we show how once trained our system can continuously improve by ingesting novel patterns.

Pedestrians and drivers are expected to safely navigate complex urban environments along with several non cooperating agents. Autonomous vehicles will soon replicate this capability. Each agent acquires a representation of the world from an egocentric perspective and must make decisions ensuring safety for itself and others. This requires to predict motion patterns of observed agents for a far enough future. In this paper we propose MANTRA, a model that exploits memory augmented networks to effectively predict multiple trajectories of other agents, observed from an egocentric perspective. Our model stores observations in memory and uses trained controllers to write meaningful pattern encodings and read trajectories that are most likely to occur in future. We show that our method is able to natively perform multi-modal trajectory prediction obtaining state-of-the art results on four datasets. Moreover, thanks to the non-parametric nature of the memory module, we show how once trained our system can continuously improve by ingesting novel patterns.

Prediction of head movements in immersive media is key to design efficient streaming systems able to focus the bandwidth budget on visible areas of the content. Numerous proposals have therefore been made in the recent years to predict 360°images and videos. However, the performance of these models is limited by a main characteristic of the head motion data: its intrinsic uncertainty. In this article, we present an approach to generate multiple plausible futures of head motion in 360°videos, given a common past trajectory. Our method provides likelihood estimates of every predicted trajectory, enabling direct integration in streaming optimization. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first work that considers the problem of multiple head motion prediction for 360°video streaming. We first quantify this uncertainty from the data. We then introduce our discrete variational multiple sequence (DVMS) learning framework, which builds on deep latent variable models. We design a training procedure to obtain a flexible and lightweight stochastic prediction model compatible with sequence-to-sequence recurrent neural architectures. Experimental results on 3 different datasets show that our method DVMS outperforms competitors adapted from the selfdriving domain by up to 37% on prediction horizons up to 5 sec., at lower computational and memory costs. Finally, we design a method to estimate the respective likelihoods of the multiple predicted trajectories, by exploiting the stationarity of the distribution of the prediction error over the latent space. Experimental results on 3 datasets show the quality of these estimates, and how they depend on the video category. CCS CONCEPTS• Human-centered computing → Virtual reality; • Information systems → Multimedia streaming; • Computing methodologies → Neural networks.

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