Current therapeutic and diagnostic resources have turned systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) into a chronic disease by reducing mortality rates. The exact contribution of disease activity and disease related damage to mortality is not well studied. The aim of this study was to describe the current causes of death (COD) in a multinational European cohort of patients with SLE in relation to quantified measures of disease activity and damage. Prospective five-year observational study of case fatalities in SLE patients at 12 European centres was performed. Demographics, disease manifestations, interventions and quantified disease activity (by ECLAM and SLEDAI) and damage (by SLICC-DI) at the time of death were related to the various COD. Ninety-one case fatalities (89% females) occurred after median disease duration of 10.2 years (range 0.2-40) corresponding to a annual case fatality of one for each of the participating cohorts. Cumulative mortality correlated linearly with disease duration with nearly 10% of fatalities occurring in the first year and 40% after more than 10 years of disease. Death occurred during SLE remission in one third of cases. In the remaining cases a mixture of disease activity (median ECLAM 5.5, median SLEDAI 15) and accrued damage (median SLICC-DI 5.0) with opposing relationships to disease duration contributed to death. Infections and cardiovascular events were the most frequent COD in both early and late fatalities with no gender differences for type of COD, disease activity, damage or comorbidity. In Europe, case fatalities have become uncommon events in dedicated SLE cohorts. The bimodal mortality curve has flattened out and deaths now occur evenly throughout the disease course with infectious and cardiovascular complications as the main direct COD in both early and late fatalities. Accrued damage supplants disease activity over time as the main SLE specific contributor to death over time.
An inception cohort of patients with systemic lupus erythematosus from 14 European centres was followed for up to 5 years in order to describe the current early disease course. At inclusion patients (n ¼ 200, 89% female, mean age 35 years, 97% Caucasian, mean SLEDAI 12.2) fulfilled a mean of 6.5 ACR classification criteria. The most prevalent criteria were antinuclear Ab presence (97%) followed by anti-dsDNA Ab (74%), arthritis (69%), leukocytopenia (54%) and malar rash (53%), antiphospholipid Ab (48%) and anti-synovial membrane Ab (21.6%). Clinical signs of lupus nephritis (LN) were present in 39% with biopsy-confirmed LN seen in 25%. Frequent additional findings were hypocomplementaemia (54%), anti-SSA Ab (49%), alopecia (26%) and Raynaud's phenomenon (31%). There were few regional differences in disease presentation and management. One and 5-year survival rates were 99% and 97% respectively. During the mean follow-up of 4.1 years 25% entered a state of early disease quiescence by global physician assessment, but the overall risk of subsequent flare was 60%. Maximum SLEDAI scores decreased over time, but 45% of patients accrued damage (SDI !1) for which baseline presence of proteinuria and persistent disease activity were independent predictors. The results indicate minor differences in SLE presentation and treatment within various regions of Europe and a high diagnostic reliance on anti-dsDNA Ab. Despite early reductions in disease activity and improved mortality, the risk for disease flare and damage development is, however, still substantial, especially in patients not entering an early remission. Lupus (2010) 19, 949-956.
MRI appears unnecessary as a routine method in the diagnosis of SS; US examination is suitable both for the diagnosis and follow-up of SS. The above combination of the seemingly contradictory US and MRI findings is highly characteristic of lymphoma which has developed in the course of the disease.
After 10 yr, a high proportion of patients in our cohort continued to show evidence of active disease, defined by the SLEDAI as well as ECLAM. The DI was related to the involvement of the central nervous system, renal involvement and the presence of hypertension.
A high proportion of patients in our cohort defined on clinical grounds as having incomplete SLE eventually showed disease activity defined by the SLEDAI as well as ECLAM. However, only three cases developed to SLE during the follow-up. This suggests that incomplete SLE forms a subgroup of SLE that has a good prognosis.
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