A potentially significant cause of damage to grassland soils is compaction of unsaturated soil and poaching of saturated or nearly saturated soil by animal hooves. Damage is caused when an applied stress is in excess of the bearing strength of the soil and results in a loss of soil structure, macroporosity and air or water conductivity. Severely damaged soils can cause reduced grassland productivity and make grazing management very difficult for the farmer. The actual amount of soil damage that can occur during grazing is dependent on the grass cover which acts as a protecting layer, the soil water content and the characteristics of the grazing animal (weight and hoof size). Assuming that the farmer is knowledgeable about the characteristics of the grazing animal and grass cover, it would be very useful for short‐term operational farm planning to be able to predict when soil water contents were likely to be in a critical range with respect to potential hoof damage. In this study soil moisture deficits (SMDs) which can be derived from meteorological forecasts are evaluated for predicting when soil water conditions are likely to lead to hoof damage. Two contrasting Irish grassland soils were analysed using a Hounsfield servo‐mechanical vertical testing machine to simulate static (285.4 N) and dynamic (571 N) hoof loads on the soil over a range of estimated SMDs (0, 5, 10 and 20 mm). The deficits were analysed with respect to the soil volumetric water content, compression (displacement) and change in dry bulk density. The SMDs imposed in the laboratory were similar to those under field conditions and thus the methods used in this study are applicable elsewhere. The change in dry bulk density following loading (0.2–0.7 g/cm3) was linearly related to SMD (R2 ranged from 0.90 to 0.99), leading to the conclusion that a forecast of SMD can be used to predict when grassland soils are likely to be at risk of damage from grazing.

<p>STREAM -SaTellite based Runoff Evaluation And Mapping- is a conceptual hydrological model able to derive daily river discharge and runoff estimates from satellite soil moisture, precipitation and terrestrial water storage anomalies observations. The model is very simple and versatile: It requires a limited number of parameters (only eight) to simulate river discharge.</p><p>The model simulates river discharge and gridded runoff at daily time scale with a 25 km spatial resolution. Forced by TRMM 3B42 rainfall data and ESA CCI soil moisture data and GRACE over five pilot large basins (Mississippi, Amazon, Niger, Danube and Murray Darling) the model already provided good runoff estimates especially over Amazon basin, with a Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE) index greater than 0.92 both at the basin outlet and over several inner stations in the basin. Good results have been also obtained for Mississippi, Niger and Danube with KGE index greater than 0.75 for all the gauging stations.</p><p>By considering the good performances of the STREAM model and by the continuous availability (in space and time) of satellite observations, this work presents an attempt to regionalize the STREAM model parameters. The Mississippi river basin has been taken as case study and specific relationships between model parameters and different predictors (climate variables such as precipitation and evaporation, soil vegetation and topography characteristics) have been developed. By using these relationships, STREAM parameter values have been directly obtained from readily available climatic and physiographic basin characteristics and model performances are still satisfactory (median KGE over the basin equal to 0.60). The capability to use these relationships in other hydrologically similar catchments will be investigated for the Danube and Amazon river basins. The final target is to obtain global relationships as to provide to provide daily, 25 km, global runoff maps from the STREAM approach.</p>

This paper presents an innovative approach, STREAM -SaTellite-based Runoff Evaluation And Mapping -to derive daily river discharge and runoff estimates from satellite observations of soil moisture, precipitation, and total water storage anomalies (TWSAs). Within a very simple model structure, precipitation and soil moisture data are used to estimate the quick-flow river discharge component while TWSAs are used for obtaining its complementary part, i.e., the slow-flow river discharge component. The two are then added together to obtain river discharge estimates.The method is tested over the Mississippi River basin for the period 2003-2016 by using precipitation data from the Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multisatellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA), soil moisture data from the European Space Agency's Climate Change Initiative (ESA CCI), and total water storage data from the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE). Despite the model simplicity, relatively high-performance scores are obtained in river discharge estimates, with a Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE) index greater than 0.64 both at the basin outlet and over several inner stations used for model calibration, highlighting the high information content of satellite observations on surface processes. Potentially useful for multiple operational and scientific applications, from flood warning systems to the understanding of water cycle, the added value of the STREAM approach is twofold: (1) a simple modeling framework, potentially suitable for global runoff monitoring, at daily timescale when forced with satellite observa-tions only, and (2) increased knowledge of natural processes and human activities as well as their interactions on the land.

<p>Water is at the centre of economic and social development; it is vital to maintain health, grow food, manage the environment, produce renewable energy, support industrial processes and create jobs. Despite the importance of water, to date over one third of the world's population still lacks access to drinking water resources and this number is expected to increase due to climate change and outdated water management. As over half of the world’s potable water supply is extracted from rivers, either directly or from reservoirs, understanding the variability of the stored water on and below landmasses, i.e., runoff, is of primary importance. Apart from river discharge observation networks that suffer from many known limitations (e.g., low station density and often incomplete temporal coverage, substantial delay in data access and large decline in monitoring capacity), runoff can be estimated through model-based or observation-based approaches whose outputs can be highly model or data dependent and characterised by large uncertainties.</p><p> </p><p>On this basis, developing innovative methods able to maximize the recovery of information on runoff contained in current satellite observations of climatic and environmental variables (i.e., precipitation, soil moisture, terrestrial water storage anomalies and land cover) becomes mandatory and urgent. In this respect, within the European Space Agency (ESA) STREAM Project (SaTellite based Runoff Evaluation And Mapping), a solid “observational” approach, exploiting space-only observations of Precipitation (P), Soil Moisture (SM) and Terrestrial Water Storage Anomalies (TWSA) to derive total runoff has been developed and validated. Different P and SM products have been considered. For P, both in situ and satellite-based (e.g., Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission, TRMM 3B42) datasets have been collected; for SM, Advanced SCATterometer, ASCAT, and ESA Climate Change Initiative, ESA CCI, soil moisture products have been extracted. TWSA time series are obtained from the latest Goddard Space Flight Center’s global mascon model, which provides storage anomalies and their uncertainties in the form of monthly surface mass densities per approximately 1°x1° blocks.</p><p> </p><p>Total runoff estimates have been simulated for the period 2003-2017 at 5 pilot basins across the world (Mississippi, Amazon, Niger, Danube and Murray Darling) characterised by different physiographic/climatic features. Results proved the potentiality of satellite observations to estimate runoff at daily time scale and at spatial resolution better than GRACE spatial sampling. In particular, by using satellite TRMM 3B42 rainfall data and ESA CCI soil moisture data, very good runoff estimates have been obtained over Amazon basin, with a Kling-Gupta efficiency (KGE) index greater than 0.92 both at the closure and over several inner stations in the basin. Good results found for Mississippi and Danube are also encouraging with KGE index greater than 0.75 for both the basins.</p>

Abstract. This paper presents an innovative approach, STREAM – SaTellite based Runoff Evaluation And Mapping – to derive daily river discharge and runoff estimates from satellite soil moisture, precipitation and terrestrial water storage anomalies observations. Within a very simple model structure, the first two variables (precipitation and soil moisture) are used to estimate the quick-flow river discharge component while the terrestrial water storage anomalies are used for obtaining its complementary part, i.e., the slow-flow river discharge component. The two are then summed up to obtain river discharge and runoff estimates. The method is tested over the Mississippi river basin for the period 2003–2016 by using Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) Multi-satellite Precipitation Analysis (TMPA) rainfall data, European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA CCI) soil moisture data and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) terrestrial water storage data. Despite the model simplicity, relatively high-performance scores are obtained in river discharge simulations, with a Kling-Gupta efficiency index greater than 0.65 both at the outlet and over several inner stations used for model calibration highlighting the high information content of satellite observations on surface processes. Potentially useful for multiple operational and scientific applications (from flood warning systems to the understanding of water cycle), the added-value of the STREAM approach is twofold: 1) a simple modelling framework, potentially suitable for global runoff monitoring, at daily time scale when forced with satellite observations only, 2) increased knowledge on the natural processes, human activities and on their interactions on the land.