With the deregulation of the electric energy industry, accurate electricity price forecasting (EPF) is increasingly significant to market participants' bidding strategies and uncertainty risk control. However, it remains a challenging task owing to the high volatility and complicated nonlinearity of electricity prices. Aimed at this, a novel hybrid deep-learning framework is proposed for day-ahead EPF, which includes four modules: the feature preprocessing module, the deep learning-based point prediction module, the error compensation module, and the probabilistic prediction module. The feature preprocessing module is based on isolation forest (IF), and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (Lasso), which is used to detect outliers and select the correlated features of electricity price series. The point prediction module combines the deep belief network (DBN), long-short-term memory (LSTM) neural network (RNN), and convolutional neural network (CNN), and is employed to extract complicated nonlinear features. The residual error between forecasting price and actual price can be reduced based on the error compensation module. The probabilistic prediction module based on quantile regression (QR) is used to estimate the uncertainty under various confidence levels. The PJM market data is employed in case studies to evaluate the proposed framework, and the results revealed that it has a competitive advantage compared with all of the considered comparison methods. INDEX TERMS Electricity market, day-ahead electricity price forecasting, feature preprocessing, deep learning, error compensation, probabilistic forecasting.
In recent years, various models based on convolutional neural networks (CNN) have been proposed to solve the cardiac arrhythmia detection problem and achieved saturated accuracy. However, these models are often viewed as “blackbox” and lack of interpretability, which hinders the understanding of cardiologists, and ultimately hinders the clinical use of intelligent terminals. At the same time, most of these approaches are supervised learning and require label data. It is a time-consuming and expensive process to obtain label data. Furthermore, in human visual cortex, the importance of lateral connection is same as feed-forward connection. Until now, CNN based on lateral connection have not been studied thus far. Consequently, in this paper, we combines CNNs, lateral connection and autoencoder (AE) to propose the building blocks of lateral connection convolutional autoencoder neural networks (LCAN) for cardiac arrhythmia detection, which learn representations in an unsupervised manner. Concretely, the LCAN contains a convolution layer, a lateral connection layer, an AE layer, and a pooling layer. The LCAN detects salient wave features through the lateral connection layer. The AE layer and competitive learning is used to update the filters of the convolution network—an unsupervised process that ensures similar weight distribution for all adjacent filters in each convolution layer and realizes the neurons’ semantic arrangement in the LCAN. To evaluate the performances of the proposed model, we have implemented the experiments on the well-known MIT–BIH Arrhythmia Database. The proposed model yields total accuracies and kappa coefficients of 98% and 0.95, respectively. The experiment results show that the LCAN is not only effective, but also a useful tool for arrhythmia detection.
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