Risk if ART is deferred is taken from [328]. The predicted 6-month risk if ART is initiated is based on the assumption that the rate with immediate therapy initiation is one-third the rate without therapy initiation. This (probably conservative) value is based on considering evidence from multiple sources, including references [32,[329][330][331][332][333].BHIVA treatment guidelines 569 r 2008 British HIV Association HIV Medicine (2008) 9, 563-608 but high CD4 percentages, but also may support a decision to start therapy earlier in patients with absolute CD4 counts 4350 cells/mL but with low CD4 percentages {e.g. o14%, where Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP) prophylaxis is indicated [35]; some studies have indicated increased risk of disease progression in patients with CD4 percentages o15-17% [36]}.
Patients with a CD4 count 4350 cells/mLAs detailed above, at CD4 counts 4350 cells/mL, multiple cohort studies have suggested that there might be benefits to ART. This is supported by data from the substudy of patients not on therapy at entry to the SMART study [32]. Some of the previous concerns about earlier initiation of therapy have been reduced because of the availability of simpler, less toxic and better tolerated antiretroviral regimens, improved pharmacokinetic profiles and increasing options after virological failure. For the majority of patients, the absolute risk of deferring therapy until the CD4 count is o350 cells/mL is likely to be low, but in a subgroup at particularly high risk of clinical events that may be preventable by ART, this is not the case. For all these reasons, in a small number of patients, treatment may be started or considered before the CD4 count is below 350 cells/mL, including the following: AIDS diagnosis (e.g. Kaposi's sarcoma); any HIV-related comorbidity; hepatitis B infection, where treatment of hepatitis B is indicated (see hepatitis guidelines); hepatitis C infection in some cases, where treatment for hepatitis is deferred; low CD4 percentage (e.g. o14%, where PCP prophylaxis would be indicated); established CVD or a very high risk of cardiovascular events (e.g. Framingham risk of CVD 420% over 10 years).Additionally, it is likely that successful antiretroviral treatment, by reducing viral load, reduces infectivity irrespective of the current CD4 cell count, and this may be taken into account in deciding on the timing of starting treatment, particularly in discordant couples where the infected partner has a high viral load. This is likely to be an issue in a very small number of patients, and it must be stressed that antiretroviral treatment in this context would be an adjunct rather than an alternative to safer sex.In patients who do not have an AIDS diagnosis or coinfection with hepatitis B or C virus, and whose CD4 counts are above 500 cells/mL, the benefits of starting therapy remain unclear, the risk of deferring therapy is low, and we recommend that they consider enrolment in the START study, where this is an option.
ComorbiditiesWhilst it has been clearly shown that...