Resumo:A problemática da pesquisa consiste em discutir se o mercado de ações pode ser um preditor da evolução do crescimento econômico e da inovação tecnológica e servir como um indicador econômico, para o caso dos países membros do BRICS. O objetivo desse estudo é analisar o comportamento e a relação do mercado acionário com a evolução macroeconômica, tendo como base o desenvolvimento tecnológico, através das variáveis que influenciam esses índices para o Brasil, Rússia, Índia, China e África do Sul -BRICS. Foi estipulado como referência para o quesito inovação o indicador fornecido pelo The Global Innovation Index, o GII, para o quesito crescimento econômico, o PIB real, e, para o quesito mercado de capitais, o principal índice de ações da bolsa de valores de cada país. Para analisar e relacionar essas variáveis se fez uso do coeficiente de correlação. Os resultados sugerem a rejeição da hipótese de estudo de maneira sistemática, visto que o desempenho do mercado de capitais não pode servir de indicador econômico, uma vez que não são apresentadas evidências de que seu desempenho esteja relacionado com o desempenho da economia real e da inovação tecnológica. Palavras ANALYSIS OF RELATIONSHIP BETWEEN INNOVATION, STOCK MARKET AND ECONOMIC GROWTH IN BRICS COUNTRIESAbstract: The research problem is to discuss whether the stock market can be a predictor of the evolution of economic growth and technological innovation and serve as an economic indicator for the BRICS member countries. The aim of this study is to analyze the behavior and the relationship of the stock market with macroeconomic developments, based on technology development, through the variables that influence these indices for Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa -BRICS. It was set as a reference for question
The objective of this is study is to analyze the behavior and the relationship between the stock market and the macroeconomic developments, based on technology development, through the variables that influence these rates to China, under the hypothesis that a decrease in stock prices may reflect in bad news regarding to technological progress and long-term economic growth. As reference to the innovation question, the study considers The Global Innovation Index (GII) based in China's position note; for the economic growth question, the reference is the Chinese real GDP; and for the capital market question, it is considered the Chinese stock exchange index (SSE Composite). For the analysis and correlation of these variables it was used the calculation of the Pearson's correlation coefficient "r". The results suggest that the performance of the capital market cannot be an economic indicator for China's case, not presenting evidence that its performance is related to those of the real economy and the technological innovation.
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