Purpose Accurate prognostic markers are urgently needed to identify diffuse large B-Cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients at high risk of progression or relapse. Our purpose was to investigate the potential added value of baseline radiomics features to the international prognostic index (IPI) in predicting outcome after first-line treatment. Methods Three hundred seventeen newly diagnosed DLBCL patients were included. Lesions were delineated using a semi-automated segmentation method (standardized uptake value ≥ 4.0), and 490 radiomics features were extracted. We used logistic regression with backward feature selection to predict 2-year time to progression (TTP). The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operator characteristic curve was calculated to assess model performance. High-risk groups were defined based on prevalence of events; diagnostic performance was assessed using positive and negative predictive values. Results The IPI model yielded an AUC of 0.68. The optimal radiomics model comprised the natural logarithms of metabolic tumor volume (MTV) and of SUVpeak and the maximal distance between the largest lesion and any other lesion (Dmaxbulk, AUC 0.76). Combining radiomics and clinical features showed that a combination of tumor- (MTV, SUVpeak and Dmaxbulk) and patient-related parameters (WHO performance status and age > 60 years) performed best (AUC 0.79). Adding radiomics features to clinical predictors increased PPV with 15%, with more accurate selection of high-risk patients compared to the IPI model (progression at 2-year TTP, 44% vs 28%, respectively). Conclusion Prediction models using baseline radiomics combined with currently used clinical predictors identify patients at risk of relapse at baseline and significantly improved model performance. Trial registration number and date EudraCT: 2006–005,174-42, 01–08-2008.
PURPOSE Baseline metabolic tumor volume (MTV) is a promising biomarker in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). Our aims were to determine the best statistical relationship between MTV and survival and to compare MTV with the International Prognostic Index (IPI) and its individual components to derive the best prognostic model. METHODS PET scans and clinical data were included from five published studies in newly diagnosed diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. Transformations of MTV were compared with the primary end points of 3-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) to derive the best relationship for further analyses. MTV was compared with IPI categories and individual components to derive the best model. Patients were grouped into three groups for survival analysis using Kaplan-Meier analysis; 10% at highest risk, 30% intermediate risk, and 60% lowest risk, corresponding with expected clinical outcome. Validation of the best model was performed using four studies as a test set and the fifth study for validation and repeated five times. RESULTS The best relationship for MTV and survival was a linear spline model with one knot located at the median MTV value of 307.9 cm3. MTV was a better predictor than IPI for PFS and OS. The best model combined MTV with age as continuous variables and individual stage as I-IV. The MTV-age-stage model performed better than IPI and was also better at defining a high-risk group (3-year PFS 46.3% v 58.0% and 3-year OS 51.5% v 66.4% for the new model and IPI, respectively). A regression formula was derived to estimate individual patient survival probabilities. CONCLUSION A new prognostic index is proposed using MTV, age, and stage, which outperforms IPI and enables individualized estimates of patient outcome.
Purpose The detection of lymph-node metastases (N1) with conventional imaging such as magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and computed tomography (CT) is inadequate for primarily diagnosed prostate cancer (PCa). Prostate-specific membrane antigen (PSMA) PET/CT is successfully introduced for the staging of (biochemically) recurrent PCa. Besides the frequently used 68 gallium-labelled PSMA tracers, 18 fluorine-labelled PSMA tracers are available. This study examined the diagnostic accuracy of 18 F-DCFPyL (PSMA) PET/CT for lymph-node staging in primary PCa. Methods This was a prospective, multicentre cohort study. Patients with primary PCa underwent 18 F-DCFPyL PET/CT prior to robot-assisted radical prostatectomy (RARP) with extended pelvic lymph-node dissection (ePLND). Patients were included between October 2017 and January 2020. A Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Centre (MSKCC) nomogram risk probability of ≥ 8% of lymph-node metastases was set to perform ePLND. All images were reviewed by two experienced nuclear physicians, and were compared with post-operative histopathologic results. Results A total of 117 patients was analysed. Lymph-node metastases (N1) were histologically diagnosed in 17/117 patients (14.5%). The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value for the 18 F-DCFPyL PET/CT detection of pelvic lymph-node metastases on a patient level were 41.2% (confidence interval (CI): 19.4-66.5%), 94.0% (CI 86.9-97.5%), 53.8% (CI 26.1-79.6%) and 90.4% (CI 82.6-95.0%), respectively. Conclusion 18 F-DCFPyL PET/CT showed a high specificity (94.4%), yet a limited sensitivity (41.2%) for the detection of pelvic lymph-node metastases in primary PCa. This implies that current PSMA PET/CT imaging cannot replace diagnostic ePLND. Further research is necessary to define the exact place of PSMA PET/CT imaging in the primary staging of PCa.
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