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There is an urgent need for countries to transition their national food and land-use systems toward food and nutritional security, climate stability, and environmental integrity. How can countries satisfy their demands while jointly delivering the required transformative change to achieve global sustainability targets? Here, we present a collaborative approach developed with the FABLE—Food, Agriculture, Biodiversity, Land, and Energy—Consortium to reconcile both global and national elements for developing national food and land-use system pathways. This approach includes three key features: (1) global targets, (2) country-driven multi-objective pathways, and (3) multiple iterations of pathway refinement informed by both national and international impacts. This approach strengthens policy coherence and highlights where greater national and international ambition is needed to achieve global goals (e.g., the SDGs). We discuss how this could be used to support future climate and biodiversity negotiations and what further developments would be needed.

National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES) has been implementing a joint monitoring project of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and air pollutants in Indonesia with Bogor Agricultural University (IPB), Agency for the Assessment and Application of Technology (BPPT), and Meteorological, Climatological, and Geophysical Agency (BMKG). To estimate the amount of anthropogenic emissions from Jakarta megacity (Jabodetabek) and compare with city activities, we developed a ground-based comprehensive monitoring system of GHGs and air pollutants and installed it at Bogor (center of Bogor city) in March 2016, Serpong (Jakarta suburb) in August 2016, and Cibeureum (mountainous area, background-like site) in March 2017. The monitoring system consists of data acquisition/control units and the instruments for continuous measurements of CO2, CH4, CO, NOx, SO2, O3, aerosol concentrations (PM2.5, PM10, BC) and the chemical components, and meteorological parameters. Flask sampling of air is also done to analyze N2O, SF6, and carbon isotopes (13C, 14C) in CO2 and to validate the continuous measurement data. The result shows that CO2 mole fractions observed at three sites have clear diurnal variations representing the minimum values from 12 to 15 local time while the values at Bogor and Serpong are 6.8 and 7.1 ppm higher than Cibeureum, respectively.

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The achievement of several Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) and the Paris Climate Agreement depends on rapid progress towards sustainable food and land systems in all countries. We have built a flexible, collaborative modeling framework to foster the development of national pathways by local research teams and their integration up to global scale. Local researchers independently customize national models to explore mid-century pathways of the food and land use system transformation in collaboration with stakeholders. An online platform connects the national models, iteratively balances global exports and imports, and aggregates results to the global level. Our results show that actions toward greater sustainability in countries could sum up to 1 Mha net forest gain per year, 950 Mha net gain in the land where natural processes predominate, and an increased CO2 sink of 3.7 GtCO2e yr-1 over the period 2020-2050 compared to current trends, while average food consumption per capita remains above the adequate food requirements in all countries. We show examples of how the global linkage impacts national results and how different assumptions in national pathways impact global results. This modeling setup acknowledges the broad heterogeneity of socio-ecological contexts and the fact that people who live in these different contexts should be empowered to design the future they want. But it also demonstrates to local decision-makers the interconnectedness of our food and land use system and the urgent need for more collaboration to converge local and global priorities.