During the last glacial termination, the upwelling strength of the southern polar limb of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation varied, changing the ventilation and stratification of the high-latitude Southern Ocean. During the same period, at least two phases of abrupt global sea-level rise-meltwater pulses-took place. Although the timing and magnitude of these events have become better constrained, a causal link between ocean stratification, the meltwater pulses and accelerated ice loss from Antarctica has not been proven. Here we simulate Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the last 25 kyr using a data-constrained ice-sheet model forced by changes in Southern Ocean temperature from an Earth system model. Results reveal several episodes of accelerated ice-sheet recession, the largest being coincident with meltwater pulse 1A. This resulted from reduced Southern Ocean overturning following Heinrich Event 1, when warmer subsurface water thermally eroded grounded marine-based ice and instigated a positive feedback that further accelerated ice-sheet retreat.

Over the past 3.5 million years, there have been several intervals when climate conditions were warmer than during the preindustrial Holocene. Although past intervals of warming were forced differently than future anthropogenic change, such periods can provide insights into potential future climate impacts and ecosystem feedbacks, especially over centennial-to-millennial timescales that are often not covered by climate model simulations. Our observation-based synthesis of the understanding of past intervals with temperatures within the range of projected future warming suggests that there is a low risk of runaway greenhouse gas feedbacks for global warming of no more than 2 °C. However, substantial regional environmental impacts can occur. A global average warming of 1-2 °C with strong polar amplification has, in the past, been accompanied by significant shifts in climate zones and the spatial distribution of land and ocean ecosystems. Sustained warming at this level has also led to substantial reductions of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets, with sea-level increases of at least several metres on millennial timescales. Comparison of palaeo observations with climate model results suggests that, due to the lack of certain feedback processes, model-based climate projections may underestimate long-term warming in response to future radiative forcing by as much as a factor of two, and thus may also underestimate centennial-to-millennial-scale sea-level rise.

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Biogenic silica (opal) accumulation records were used to trace mechanisms, consequence, and geographic pattern of shifts in the main locus of opal deposition of the World Ocean over the last 15 Myr. Over this time interval, the main opal ''sink'' seems to have moved from the North Atlantic, to the Pacific, equatorial Pacific, eastern equatorial Pacific, eastern boundary current upwelling systems (California, Namibia, Peru), and finally to the Southern Ocean. The interplay between opal deposition and a series of climatic, tectonic, oceanographic, and biologic events has been analyzed and discussed. These events include the Cenozoic global cooling trend, intensified glaciation in Antarctica, Late Miocene -Early Pliocene biogenic bloom, development of Northern Hemisphere Glaciation (NHG), closing of the Panama Seaway, transition of the climate system from a monopolarto a bipolar-glaciated world, Mid-Pleistocene Revolution (MPR), nutrient availability, evolution of diatoms and C4 plants, and changes in continental weathering rates. While the observed shifts are mostly traceable to oceanic reorganizations and global climatic evolution, conditions favorable to opal deposition involve the above-mentioned complex mix of processes. For this reason, the interpretation of opal deposition records might not always be straightforward. We, however, believe that it can still provide clear indications of large-scale oceanographic reorganizations in the geological past. D

[1] On the basis of the quantitative study of diatom, radiolarian, and planktic foraminiferal assemblages, we estimated summer sea surface temperature (SSST) and sea-ice extent at 50 sediment core localities in the Atlantic and western Indian sector of the Southern Ocean to reconstruct the last glacial environment at the GLAMAP (18 to 15 ka, equal to 21,500 to 18,000 calendar (cal) years BP) and EPILOG (19.5 to 16.0 ka, equal to 23,000 to 19,000 cal years BP) time slices. Stratigraphic identification of the time slices was accomplished by a combination of AMS 14 C measurements, benthic isotope, and siliceous microfossil abundance records. While the SSST estimates reveal greater surface water cooling than reconstructed by CLIMAP [1981], reaching a maximum in the area of the present Subantarctic Zone, the sea-ice reconstruction indicates that CLIMAP overestimated the expansion of the Antarctic sea-ice field, especially for austral summer. During winter the seaice field was expanded by 60-70% compared to the present. Last glacial summer sea surface isotherms indicate a northward shift of the zonal bands of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and a relative expansion of the cold water realm south of the Subantarctic Front by $5°in latitude. This coincides with a northward displacement of the zone of enhanced biogenic silica deposition and iceberg occurrence. As a result of northward expansion of Antarctic cold waters and a relatively small displacement of the Subtropical Front, thermal gradients were steepened during the last glacial in the area of the present Subtropical Front. The northward displacement of Antarctic cold waters and the related deflection of Southern Ocean waters along the eastern boundary of South America may have resulted in a weakened ''cold water route'' across the Drake Passage. In contrast, the transport of warm and salty surface water from the Indian into the Atlantic Ocean via the ''warm water route'' was not blocked allowing continuous but reduced import of heat into the South Atlantic.