As policy makers seek to slow the growth in Medicare spending, they have appropriately focused attention on beneficiaries with multiple chronic conditions. Many care coordination and disease management programs designed to improve beneficiaries' care and reduce their need for hospitalizations have been tested, but few have been successful. This study, however, found that four of eleven programs that were part of the Medicare Coordinated Care Demonstration reduced hospitalizations by 8-33 percent among enrollees who had a high risk of near-term hospitalization. The six approaches practiced by care coordinators in at least three of the four programs were as follows: supplementing telephone calls to patients with frequent in-person meetings; occasionally meeting in person with providers; acting as a communications hub for providers; delivering evidence-based education to patients; providing strong medication management; and providing timely and comprehensive transitional care after hospitalizations. When care management fees were included, the programs were essentially costneutral, but none of these programs generated net savings to Medicare. Our results suggest that incorporating these approaches into medical homes, accountable care organizations, and other policy initiatives could reduce hospitalizations and improve patients' lives. However, the approaches would save money only if care coordination fees were modest and organizations found cost-effective ways to deliver the interventions. M edicare's rapidly increasing costs have led policy makers to focus on improving the coordination of care for people with high-cost chronic conditions, for several reasons. First, beneficiaries with such conditions account for a disproportionately large share of total Medicare spending. 1 Second, ample opportunities exist to improve the care they receive.2-4 Studies of care coordination have noted the high proportion of preventable hospitalizations arising from inadequate or inappropriate care, poor patient adherence to recommended medication and selfcare regimens, and poor communication among the many providers whom a patient with chronic conditions typically sees. 2-9Despite the apparent opportunity to control spending by reducing the need for hospitalizations among such beneficiaries, several demonstrations by the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services (CMS) to test disease management and care coordination programs in fee-forservice Medicare have been largely unsuccessful. 8,9 Most of these unsuccessful programs are telephone-only interventions that develop and update care plans to meet patients' needs, educate patients about self-care and medication
As one of the initial fifteen participants in the Medicare Coordinated Care Demonstration, the Washington University School of Medicine in St. Louis was not able to demonstrate any reduction in hospitalizations or Medicare spending for the patients it served. In fact, the Washington University program increased total Medicare spending by 12 percent. But after a redesign, the results changed. The program stopped conducting care management of most of its patients via telephone from a remote site in California and, instead, served all patients through frequent phone and occasional in-person contact from local care managers in St. Louis. Care management efforts were focused especially on patients deemed at greatest risk of hospitalization, and stronger hospital transition planning and medication reconciliation were provided, among other changes. After that point, the program reduced hospitalizations by 12 percent and monthly Medicare spending by $217 per enrollee-more than offsetting the program's monthly $151 care management fee. The results underscore findings from the overall Medicare Coordinated Care Demonstration that suggest that programs with more in-person contacts were more likely than others to build trusting relationships with patients and providers, improve patient adherence to care plans, and address additional needs and barriers that entirely telephonic contacts had been unable to identify. The results also indicate that programs can be more effective by focusing on the highest-risk patients, for whom the largest savings resulted.
IMPORTANCEThe Million Hearts Cardiovascular Disease (CVD) Risk Reduction Model pays provider organizations for measuring and reducing Medicare patients' cardiovascular risk.OBJECTIVE To assess whether the model increases the initiation or intensification of antihypertensive medications or statins among patients with blood pressure or low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol levels above guideline thresholds for treatment intensification. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTSThis prespecified secondary analysis of a cluster-randomized, pragmatic trial included primary care and cardiology practices, health care centers, and hospital-based outpatient departments across the US. Participants included Medicare patients who were enrolled into the model in 2017 by participating organizations and who were at high risk and at medium risk of a myocardial infarction or stroke in 10 years. Patient outcomes were analyzed for 1 year postenrollment (through December 2018) using an intent-to-treat design. Analysis began November 2019. INTERVENTIONS US Centers forMedicare & Medicaid Services paid organizations for risk stratifying Medicare patients and reducing CVD risk among high-risk patients through discussing risk scores, developing individualized risk reduction plans, and following up with patients twice yearly. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURESInitiating or intensifying statin or antihypertensive therapy within 1 year of enrollment, measured in Medicare Part D claims, and LDL cholesterol and systolic blood pressure levels approximately 1 year after enrollment, measured in usual care and reported to Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services via a data registry (data complete for 51% of high-risk enrollees). The study's primary outcome (incidence of first-time myocardial infarction and stroke) is not reported because the trial is ongoing.RESULTS A total of 330 primary care and cardiology practices, health care centers, and hospitalbased outpatient departments and 125 436 Medicare patients were included in this analysis. High-risk patients in the intervention group had a mean (SD) age of 74 (4.1), 15 213 (63%) were male, 21 657 (90%) were receiving antihypertensive medication at baseline, and 16 558 (69%) were receiving statins. Almost all (21 791 [91%]) high-risk intervention group patients had abovethreshold systolic blood pressure level (>130 mm Hg), LDL cholesterol level (>70 mg/dL), or both. Patients in the intervention group with these risk factors were more likely than control patients (8127 [37.3%] vs 4753 [32.4%]; adjusted difference in percentage points, 4.8; 95% CI, 2.9-6.7; P < .001) to initiate or intensify statins or antihypertensive medication. Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services did not pay for CVD risk reduction for medium-risk enrollees, but initiation or intensification rates for these enrollees were also higher in the intervention vs control groups (12 668 [27.9%] vs 7544 [24.8%]; adjusted difference in percentage points, 3.1; 95% CI, 1.9-4.3; P < .001). Among high-risk enrollees with clinical data approximately ...
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