Background Can methods from computational models of decision-making be used to build a predictive model to identify individuals most likely to be nonadherent to personal fitness goals? Such a model may have significant value in the global battle against obesity. Despite growing awareness of the impact of physical inactivity on human health, sedentary behavior is increasingly linked to premature death in the developed world. The annual impact of sedentary behavior is significant, causing an estimated 2 million deaths. From a global perspective, sedentary behavior is one of the 10 leading causes of mortality and morbidity. Annually, considerable funding and countless public health initiatives are applied to promote physical fitness, with little impact on sustained behavioral change. Predictive models developed from multimodal methodologies combining data from decision-making tasks with contextual insights and objective physical activity data could be used to identify those most likely to abandon their fitness goals. This has the potential to enable development of more targeted support to ensure that those who embark on fitness programs are successful. Objective The aim of this study is to determine whether it is possible to use decision-making tasks such as the Iowa Gambling Task to help determine those most likely to abandon their fitness goals. Predictive models built using methods from computational models of decision-making, combining objective data from a fitness tracker with personality traits and modeling from decision-making games delivered via a mobile app, will be used to ascertain whether a predictive algorithm can identify digital personae most likely to be nonadherent to self-determined exercise goals. If it is possible to phenotype these individuals, it may be possible to tailor initiatives to support these individuals to continue exercising. Methods This is a siteless study design based on a bring your own device model. A total of 200 healthy adults who are novice exercisers and own a Fitbit (Fitbit Inc) physical activity tracker will be recruited via social media for this study. Participants will provide consent via the study app, which they will download from the Google Play store (Alphabet Inc) or Apple App Store (Apple Inc). They will also provide consent to share their Fitbit data. Necessary demographic information concerning age and sex will be collected as part of the recruitment process. Over 12 months, the scheduled study assessments will be pushed to the subjects to complete. The Iowa Gambling Task will be administered via a web app shared via a URL. Results Ethics approval was received from Dublin City University in December 2020. At manuscript submission, study recruitment was pending. The expected results will be published in 2022. Conclusions It is hoped that the study results will support the development of a predictive model and the study design will inform future research approaches. Trial Registration ClinicalTrials.gov NCT04783298; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT04783298

Background Chronic tinnitus is an increasing worldwide health concern, causing a significant burden to the health care system each year. The COVID-19 pandemic has seen a further increase in reported cases. For people with tinnitus, symptoms are exacerbated because of social isolation and the elevated levels of anxiety and depression caused by quarantines and lockdowns. Although it has been reported that patients with tinnitus can experience changes in cognitive capabilities, changes in adaptive learning via decision-making tasks for people with tinnitus have not yet been investigated. Objective In this study, we aim to assess state- and trait-related impairments in adaptive learning ability on probabilistic learning tasks among people with tinnitus. Given that performance in such tasks can be quantified through computational modeling methods using a small set of neural-informed model parameters, such approaches are promising in terms of the assessment of tinnitus severity. We will first examine baseline differences in the characterization of decision-making under uncertainty between healthy individuals and people with tinnitus in terms of differences in the parameters of computational models in a cross-sectional experiment. We will also investigate whether these computational markers, which capture characteristics of decision-making, can be used to understand the cognitive impact of tinnitus symptom fluctuations through a longitudinal experimental design. Methods We have developed a mobile app, AthenaCX, to deliver e-consent and baseline tinnitus and psychological assessments as well as regular ecological momentary assessments (EMAs) of perceived tinnitus loudness and a web-based aversive version of a probabilistic decision-making task, which can be triggered based on the participants’ responses to the EMA surveys. Computational models will be developed to fit participants’ choice data in the task, and cognitive parameters will be estimated to characterize participants’ current ability to adapt learning to the change of the simulated environment at each session when the task is triggered. Linear regression analysis will be conducted to evaluate the impacts of baseline tinnitus severity on adapting decision-making performance. Repeated measures linear regression analysis will be used to examine model-derived parameters of decision-making in measuring real-time perceived tinnitus loudness fluctuations. Results Ethics approval was received in December 2020 from Dublin City University (DCUREC/2021/070). The implementation of the experiments, including both the surveys and the web-based decision-making task, has been prepared. Recruitment flyers have been shared with audiologists, and a video instruction has been created to illustrate to the participants how to participate in the experiment. We expect to finish data collection over 12 months and complete data analysis 6 months after this. The results are expected to be published in December 2023. Conclusions We believe that EMA with context-aware triggering can facilitate a deeper understanding of the effects of tinnitus symptom severity upon decision-making processes as measured outside of the laboratory. International Registered Report Identifier (IRRID) PRR1-10.2196/36583

Recently, the use of mobile technologies in ecological momentary assessments (EMAs) and interventions has made it easier to collect data suitable for intraindividual variability studies in the medical field. Nevertheless, especially when self‐reports are used during the data collection process, there are difficulties in balancing data quality and the burden placed on the subject. In this paper, we address this problem for a specific EMA setting that aims to submit a demanding task to subjects at high/low values of a self‐reported variable. We adopt a dynamic approach inspired by control chart methods and design optimization techniques to obtain an EMA triggering mechanism for data collection that considers both the individual variability of the self‐reported variable and of the adherence. We test the algorithm in both a simulation setting and with real, large‐scale data from a tinnitus longitudinal study. A Wilcoxon signed rank test shows that the algorithm tends to have both a higher F1 score and utility than a random schedule and a rule‐based algorithm with static thresholds, which are the current state‐of‐the‐art approaches. In conclusion, the algorithm is proven effective in balancing data quality and the burden placed on the participants, especially in studies where data collection is impacted by adherence.

UNSTRUCTURED Can methods from computational models of decision-making be used to build a predictive model to identify individuals most likely to be non-adherent to personal physical goals? This predictive model may have significant value in the global battle against obesity. Despite the growing awareness of the considerable impact of physical inactivity on human health, sedentary behavior is increasingly linked to premature death in the developed world. The annual impact of sedentary behaviors is significant, causing an estimated 2 million deaths. From a global perspective, sedentary behavior is one of the ten leading causes of mortality and morbidity. Annually considerable funding and countless public health initiatives promote physical fitness with little impact on sustained behavioral change. Predictive models developed from multimodal methodologies combining data from decision-making tasks with contextual insights and objective physical activity data can be used to identify those most likely to abandon their fitness goals. This information has the potential to be used to develop more targeted support to ensure those who embark on fitness programs are successful. This research aims to determine if it is possible to use decision-making tasks such as the Iowa Gambling Task (IGT) to help determine those most likely to abandon their fitness goals? Predictive models built using methods from computational models of decision making, combining objective data from a fitness tracker with personality traits and modeling from decision-making games delivered via a mobile application, will be used to ascertain if a predictive algorithm can identify digital personae's most likely to be non-adherent to self-determine exercise goals. If it is possible to phenotype these individuals, then it may be possible to tailor initiatives to support these individuals to stay the course. This study design is entirely virtual and based on a "Bring your own device" (BYOD) model. Two hundred healthy adults who are novice exercisers and own a FITBIT physical activity tracker (FITBIT, Inc. San Francisco, USA) will be recruited via social media for the study. Subjects will e-consent via the study app, which they will download from the Google/Apple play store. They will also consent to share their FITBIT data. Necessary demographic information concerning age and gender will be collected as part of the recruitment process. Over 12 months, scheduled study assessments will be pushed to the subjects to complete. The IGT will be administered via a web application shared via a URL. Ethics approval was received in December 2020 from Dublin City University. At manuscript submission, study recruitment is pending. Expected results will be published in 2022. This study is registered with Clinical Trials.Gov: Registration number NCT04783298