Summary Background Nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) discontinuation may be attempted in carefully selected patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection. Aim To investigate whether a novel serum marker of quantitative hepatitis B virus (HBV) RNA levels could predict biochemical relapse after NA discontinuation. Methods We prospepctively followed non‐cirrhotic Asian patients with CHB who stopped NA according to pre‐specified stopping criteria. The primary endpoint was biochemical relapse (HBV DNA >2000 IU/mL and alanine transaminase >2x upper limit of normal), which were also the re‐treatment criteria. Results Biochemical relapse occurred in 50 patients (48.3% at year 6). Multivariable analysis showed that higher HBV RNA levels (HR 1.34; P < 0.001) at the time of NA discontinuation were associated with increased biochemical relapse risk. The area under the curve of HBV RNA at the time of NA discontinuation for the incidence of biochemical relapse was 0.760 at 6 years. Six years after treatment discontinuation, all patients with HBV RNA levels ≥20 000 copies/mL at the end of treatment developed a biochemical relapse compared with 23.8% of patients with HBV RNA levels<1000 copies/mL (P < 0.001). More patients with HBV RNA levels <1000 copies/mL at end of treatment achieved loss of hepatitis B surface antigen than patients with higher levels (30.9% vs 1.6%; P = 0.027). Conclusions The HBV RNA level at end of treatment predicted biochemical relapse after treatment discontinuation and may be used to guide decisions on treatment discontinuation.

Objective It remains unknown how to stratify the risk of clinical relapse of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients after stopping nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) antiviral therapy. Methods The current post hoc analysis included 122 non-cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection who were positive for hepatitis B envelope antigen (HBeAg) and discontinued long-term NA therapy after achieving HBeAg seroconversion for a median of 2.5 years. Post hoc analysis of end-of-treatment (EOT) hepatitis B core-related antigen (HBcrAg) levels was performed using a chemiluminescent enzyme immunoassay. Results A total of 78/122 (63.9%) patients experienced sustained response after NAs cessation, and 44/122 (36.1%) patients experienced clinical relapse. In multivariate analysis, EOT HBcrAg (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.105 95% CI: 1.440–3.077, p < 0.001), hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) ≥100 IU/mL (HR = 4.406, 95% CI 1.567–12.389, p = 0.005) and age (HR = 1.051, 95% CI: 1.010–1.093, p = 0.049) were independently associated with clinical relapse. A cut-off value of 4.0 log 10 U/mL of HBcrAg was defined by maximized Youden’s index. An EOT HBcrAg level of ≥4.0 log 10 U/mL was associated with higher risks of clinical relapse (65.8% vs 23.2%, p <0.001) and HBeAg reversion (27.5% vs 1.6%, p < 0.001). In majority of patients (n = 91) who had a high EOT HBsAg level (≥100 IU/mL), serum HBcrAg level could further discriminate patients at low risk of clinical relapse. Patients with an HBcrAg level ≥4.0 log 10 U/mL had significantly higher cumulative incidence rates of clinical relapse (78.1% vs 29.4%, p < 0.001) and HBeAg reversion (29.4% vs 0%, p < 0.001). Conclusion Serum EOT HBcrAg level can be a predictor of off-treatment relapse in patients with CHB. An HBcrAg level of 4.0 log 10 U/mL may identify patients at high risk of clinical relapse after treatment cessation.

Background The virological or clinical relapse is common in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients after stopping long-term nucleos(t)ide analogue (NA) therapy. Soluble growth stimulation expressed gene 2 (sST2), one of the Toll-like/interleukin-1 receptor members, is involved in a variety of inflammatory processes and immune responses. However, the expression and function of serum sST2 in CHB patients after stopping NA treatment remains unknown. Methods A total of 91 non-cirrhotic Asian patients with CHB who discontinued NA therapy according to international guidelines were prospectively followed up to 240 weeks. All patients were divided into clinical relapse group and non-clinical relapse (including sustained virological response and only virological relapse) group according HBV DNA and ALT levels. The serum levels of sST2 of all participants were determined by ELISA and compared between each two groups. Results Clinical relapse occurred in 26 patients and virological relapse occurred in 57 patients. We found that there was a positive correlation between sST2 expression and HBsAg, ALT, HBV DNA, and anti-HBc levels in CHB patients after discontinuation of NA treatment. Levels of serum sST2 in clinical relapse patients showed a rising trend and most patients showed peak sST2 levels at the point of clinical relapse. Moreover, the sST2 levels of clinical relapse group at week 12, week 24 and week 48 were relatively higher than non-clinical relapse group. However, the level of sST2 at the end of treatment was not an effective biological marker for the early prediction of clinical relapse after discontinuation of long-term NA therapy. Conclusions In conclusion, we found that an increase in sST2 in clinical relapse patients might be associated with an inflammation-related immune response after discontinuation of NA treatment. Trial registration The trial was retrospectively registered at Chinese Clinical Trial Registry: ChiCTR-OOC-17013970 . Registration date: December 15, 2017.