Deriving predictive models in medicine typically relies on a population approach where a single model is developed from a dataset of individuals. In this paper we describe and evaluate a personalized approach in which we construct a new type of decision tree model called decision-path model that takes advantage of the particular features of a given person of interest. We introduce three personalized methods that derive personalized decision-path models. We compared the performance of these methods to that of Classification And Regression Tree (CART) that is a population decision tree to predict seven different outcomes in five medical datasets. Two of the three personalized methods performed statistically significantly better on area under the ROC curve (AUC) and Brier skill score compared to CART. The personalized approach of learning decision path models is a new approach for predictive modeling that can perform better than a population approach.

Chest radiographs allow for the meticulous examination of a patient’s chest but demands specialized training for proper interpretation. Automated analysis of medical imaging has become increasingly accessible with the advent of machine learning (ML) algorithms. Large labeled datasets are key elements for training and validation of these ML solutions. In this paper we describe the Brazilian labeled chest x-ray dataset, BRAX: an automatically labeled dataset designed to assist researchers in the validation of ML models. The dataset contains 24,959 chest radiography studies from patients presenting to a large general Brazilian hospital. A total of 40,967 images are available in the BRAX dataset. All images have been verified by trained radiologists and de-identified to protect patient privacy. Fourteen labels were derived from free-text radiology reports written in Brazilian Portuguese using Natural Language Processing.

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