Habitat fragmentation is expected to impose strong selective pressures on dispersal rates. However, evolutionary responses of dispersal are not self-evident, since various selection pressures act in opposite directions. Here we disentangled the components of dispersal behavior in a metapopulation context using the Virtual Migration model, and we linked their variation to habitat fragmentation in the specialist butterfly Proclossiana eunomia. Our study provided a nearly unique opportunity to study how habitat fragmentation modifies dispersal at the landscape scale, as opposed to microlandscapes or simulation studies. Indeed, we studied the same species in four landscapes with various habitat fragmentation levels, in which large amounts of field data were collected and analyzed using similar methodologies. We showed the existence of quantitative variations in dispersal behavior correlated with increased fragmentation. Dispersal propensity from habitat patches (for a given patch size), and mortality during dispersal (for a given patch connectivity) were lower in more fragmented landscapes. We suggest that these were the consequences of two different evolutionary responses of dispersal behavior at the individual level: (1) when fragmentation increased, the reluctance of individuals to cross habitat patch boundaries also increased; (2) when individuals dispersed, they flew straighter in the matrix, which is the best strategy to improve dispersal success. Such evolutionary responses could generate complex nonlinear patterns of dispersal changes at the metapopulation level according to habitat fragmentation. Due to the small size and increased isolation of habitat patches in fragmented landscapes, overall emigration rate and mortality during dispersal remained high. As a consequence, successful dispersal at the metapopulation scale remained limited. Therefore, to what extent the selection of individuals with a lower dispersal propensity and a higher survival during dispersal is able to limit detrimental effects of habitat fragmentation on dispersal success is unknown, and any conclusion that metapopulations would compensate for them is flawed.
M. 2004. Modelling mortality and dispersal: consequences of parameter generalisation on metapopulation dynamics. Á/ Oikos 106: 243 Á/252.Modelling dispersal is a fundamental step in the design of population viability analyses. Here, we address the question of the generalisation of population viability analysis models across landscapes by comparing dispersal between two metapopulations of the bog fritillary butterfly (Proclossiana eunomia ) living in similar highly fragmented landscapes ( B/1% of suitable habitat in 9 km 2 ). Differences in dispersal patterns were investigated using the virtual migration (VM) model, which was parameterised with capture Á/mark Á/recapture data collected during several years in both landscapes. The VM model allows the estimation of 6 parameters describing dispersal and mortality as well as the simulation of dispersal in the landscapes. The model revealed large differences in the VM parameter estimates between the two landscapes and consequently, simulations indicated differential rates of emigration and dispersal mortality. Furthermore, results from crossed-simulations i.e. simulations performed in one of the landscape but using parameter estimates from the other landscape emphasize that dispersal parameters are very specific to each metapopulation and to their landscape. Hence, we urge conservation biologists to be cautious with such parameter generalisations, even for the same species in comparable landscapes.
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