Brittle fracture of asphalt mixtures at low temperatures is one of the main deterioration modes of pavements. Hence as an important design parameter, it is required that a reliable value for fracture toughness of asphalt mixtures is known. However, because of natural inhomogeneity of asphalt mixtures and inherent sources of scatters such as random distribution of ingredients and preparation process, the use of statistical analyses might provide better estimations for the crack growth resistance of asphalt mixtures. In this paper by conducting several low temperature fracture toughness experiments on three types of asphalt mixtures with different air void contents, the effects of air void percentage on mode I fracture toughness are studied statistically. Fifty six edge cracked semi‐circular bend specimens containing 4, 5 and 7% air voids were tested, and the corresponding two and three‐Weibull distribution parameters were determined for each set of data. It was shown that the Weibull model can be used successfully for predicting the statistical nature of tensile cracking phenomenon in asphalt mixtures. The mean fracture toughness values and the Weibull parameters were reduced by increasing the air void content. Furthermore, the distribution parameters obtained experimentally for the mixtures containing 4% and 5% voids were also predicted quite well in terms of the Weibull parameters of a reference mixture containing 7% air void.

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