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Spatial–temporal rainfall assessments are integral to climate/hydrological modeling, agricultural studies, and water resource planning and management. Herein, we evaluate spatial–temporal rainfall trends and patterns in Pakistan for 1961–2020 using nationwide data from 82 rainfall stations. To assess optimal spatial distribution and rainfall characterization, twenty-seven interpolation techniques from geo-statistical and deterministic categories were systematically compared, revealing that the empirical Bayesian kriging regression prediction (EBKRP) technique was best. Hence, EBKRP was used to produce and utilize the first normal annual rainfall map of Pakistan for evaluating spatial rainfall patterns. While the largest under-prediction was estimated for Hunza (− 51%), the highest and lowest rainfalls were estimated for Malam Jaba in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa province (~  1700 mm), and Nok-kundi in Balochistan province (~  50 mm), respectively. A gradual south-to-north increase in rainfall was spatially evident with an areal average of 455 mm, while long-term temporal rainfall evaluation showed a statistically significant (p = 0.05) downward trend for Sindh province. Additionally, downward inter-decadal regime shifts were detected for the Punjab and Sindh provinces (90% confidence). These results are expected to help inform environmental planning in Pakistan; moreover, the rainfall data produced using the optimal method has further implications in several aforementioned fields.

A global challenge to sustainable development is land degradation, and to achieve land degradation neutrality, monitoring, mapping, and impact assessment of ongoing ecological restoration efforts is necessary. Here, we analyze the desertification process and role of restoration projects at a spatial and temporal scale in Mu Us Desert from 2001 to 2018. We used 17 years of data to (1) assess the vegetation trend including its significance and map land degradation based on Sustainable Development Goal Indicator 15.3.1 (2) address how vegetation activity has changed under the influence of restoration programs and climate change (3) estimate how successful are the positive human interventions to achieve Land degradation neutrality. Results showed an overall increasing vegetation trend (85.69% significant increasing) and a partial decreasing vegetation trend (1.33% significant decreasing) in Mu Us desert. Ecological restoration activities are found to be one of the key driving forces of vegetation restoration in the desert, however, limited impact of climatic factors on vegetation cover change was observed. Results revealed that 41.42% of total significant restoration is attributed to ecological restoration programs out of which 40.42% area has shown improvement in all three sub-indicators of land degradation.