PurposeThis study aimed to develop and validate a specific risk-stratification nomogram model for the prediction of venous thromboembolism(VTE) in hospitalized patients with lung cancer using readily obtainable demographic, clinical and therapeutic characteristics, thus guiding the individualized decision-making on thromboprophylaxis on the basis of VTE risk levels.MethodsWe performed a retrospective case–control study among newly diagnosed lung cancer patients hospitalized between January 2016 and December 2021. Included in the cohort were 234 patients who developed PTE and 936 non-VTE patients. The patients were randomly divided into the derivation group (70%, 165 VTE patients and 654 non-VTE patients) and the validation group (30%, 69 VTE patients and 282 non-VTE patients). Cut off values were established using a Youden´s Index. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were used to determine independent risk factors associated with VTE. Variance Inflation Factor(VIF) was used for collinearity diagnosis of the covariates in the model. The model was validated by the consistency index (C-index), receiver operating characteristic curves(ROC) and the calibration plot with the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. The clinical utility of the model was assessed through decision curve analysis(DCA). Further, the comparison of nomogram model with current models(Khorana, Caprini, Padua and COMPASS-CAT) was performed by comparing ROC curves using the DeLong’s test.ResultsThe predictive nomogram modle comprised eleven variables: overweight(24-28) defined by body mass index (BMI): [odds ratio (OR): 1.90, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.19-3.07], adenocarcinoma(OR:3.00, 95% CI: 1.88-4.87), stageIII-IV(OR:2.75, 95%CI: 1.58-4.96), Central venous catheters(CVCs) (OR:4.64, 95%CI: 2.86-7.62), D-dimer levels≥2.06mg/L(OR:5.58, 95%CI:3.54-8.94), PT levels≥11.45sec(OR:2.15, 95% CI:1.32-3.54), Fbg levels≥3.33 g/L(OR:1.76, 95%CI:1.12-2.78), TG levels≥1.37mmol/L (OR:1.88, 95%CI:1.19-2.99), ROS1 rearrangement(OR:2.87, 95%CI:1.74-4.75), chemotherapy history(OR:1.66, 95%CI:1.01-2.70) and radiotherapy history(OR:1.96, 95%CI:1.17-3.29). Collinearity analysis with demonstrated no collinearity among the variables. The resulting model showed good predictive performance in the derivation group (AUC 0.865, 95% CI: 0.832-0.897) and in the validation group(AUC 0.904,95%CI:0.869-0.939). The calibration curve and DCA showed that the risk-stratification nomogram had good consistency and clinical utility. Futher, the area under the ROC curve for the specific VTE risk-stratification nomogram model (0.904; 95% CI:0.869-0.939) was significantly higher than those of the KRS, Caprini, Padua and COMPASS-CAT models(Z=12.087, 11.851, 9.442, 5.340, all P<0.001, respectively).ConclusionA high-performance nomogram model incorporated available clinical parameters, genetic and therapeutic factors was established, which can accurately predict the risk of VTE in hospitalized patients with lung cancer and to guide individualized decision-making on thromboprophylaxis. Notably, the novel nomogram model was significantly more effective than the existing well-accepted models in routine clinical practice in stratifying the risk of VTE in those patients. Future community-based prospective studies and studies from multiple clinical centers are required for external validation.

The aim of this single-centre 10-year retrospective observational study was to evaluate the profile of Chinese cancerous patients complicated with venous thromboembolism (VTE) based on demographic features, clinical characteristics, and medication exposure. Consecutive 1482 patients with solid tumor complicated with VTE at a tertiary center between 2012 and 2021 were retrospectively enrolled. Data were collected on demographics, comorbidities, discharge diagnoses, laboratory examination data, treatment details, and imaging description of the lesion. The overall incidence of clinical VTE was 1.35% in hospitalized patients with cancer in our center. Lung cancer was the most frequent tumor subtype for developing VTE events, accounting for 24.83% of all cases. Over half of the patients (66.60%) were observed to have an increased risk of VTE within the first 6 months of cancer diagnosis. Close to half of the patients (46.49%) had received chemotherapy within 6 months prior to the diagnosis of VTE. The frequency of massive ascites group (＞2000 mL) in gynecological patients with VTE was significantly larger than that of nonmassive ascites group (≤2000 mL) ( P < .001). Patients with ovarian, vulvar, lung cancers were considered at high risk for VTE. The assessment and monitoring of VTE in patients with cancer within the first 6 months of cancer diagnosis should be strengthened. VTE occurrence was closely related to advanced age and stage, adenocarcinoma, obesity and noval anticancer therapies in patients with cancer. Early detection of VTE-related examination may lead to earlier intervention for patients with gynecological tumors with preoperative massive ascites.