No abstract

Ця стаття розповсюджується на умовах ліцензіїCreative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0, яка дозволяє необмежене повторне використання, розповсюдження та відтворення на будь-якому носії, за умови правильного цитування оригінальної роботи.

Introduction. The article examines the trends in the levels of average wages, minimum wages and subsistence minimum, which are extremely important for the analysis of wealth and well-being of the population of Ukraine. The time trends of these indicators are constructed and the regularities of their change during 1996-2020 are established. The Keitz index is calculated and investigated. The dependences of the average wage, the minimum wage and the subsistence level on the gross domestic product are analyzed and established. The values of the values of the mutual correlation function are investigated. Purpose. The purpose of this article is a mathematical and statistical analysis of the dynamics of wages and living wage in Ukraine and the factors influencing them. The task is to study the impact of gross domestic product on the average wage, minimum wage, subsistence level and establish a causal relationship between them using mathematical, statistical and econometric models in order to further predict them and make recommendations on social indicators of living standards. Method. The article uses mathematical and statistical methods and regression-correlation analysis as the main methods of scientific research; time series theory; methods of mathematical modeling. Results. Analyzing the statistical data of indicators of average wages, minimum wages, subsistence level and gross domestic product in Ukraine for 1996-2020, their dynamics is studied. Trend models of wage levels and subsistence level have been built. The general tendency of their growth is noted. Emphasis is placed on the need to use mathematical modeling to study socio-economic indicators of living standards. The Keitz index, which reflects the fight against poverty, is calculated and analyzed. It is noted that during 1996-2009 the subsistence level exceeded the minimum wage. In 2010-2011, the values of the minimum wage slightly exceeded the subsistence level; and in subsequent years, small amounts were observed, until 2017 the minimum wage was not doubled. This positive trend has also been observed in recent years. Econometric models of dependence of average and minimum wage on gross domestic product are presented. The correlation-regression dependence of the subsistence minimum on the gross domestic product is constructed. It is shown that the growth of gross domestic product is accompanied by an increase in social indicators of living standards of the population of Ukraine. The values of the values of the mutual correlation function between the gross domestic product and the levels of wages and subsistence, respectively, are calculated and investigated.

The dynamics of the gross domestic product (GDP) and the minimum and middle pensions, the dollar exchange rate are analysed. A series of trends in the dynamics of GDP, minimum and average pensions in hryvnia and dollar equivalents are presented. The necessity of using mathematical modelling to study social and economic indicators of living standards of the population is emphasised. The main tendencies of the influence of the gross domestic product on the minimum and average pensions are generalised. Prognostic values of the minimum pension in hryvnia and dollar equivalents for the period of 2018-2022 are estimated. The econometric models of the dependence of the minimum and average pensions on GDP in hryvnia and dollar equivalents are presented. It is shown that GDP growth is accompanied by an increase in the minimum and average pensions in hryvnia and dollar equivalents.

Introduction. Foreign trade operations significantly affect the development of each country's economy, in particular the value of gross domestic product, which is one of the main indicators of economic development and welfare of population. Therefore, it is necessary to study and model the impact of exports, imports and net exports on macroeconomic indicators of Ukraine. Purpose. The purpose of the article is to analyze publications that consider export-import operations of Ukraine, study of statistical information in this area, construction and analysis of econometric models of the dynamics of foreign trade operations of Ukraine and their impact on gross domestic product. Method. The article uses regression-correlation analysis as one of the main research methods; time series theory; methods of mathematical modeling. Results. The dynamics of foreign economic operations and gross domestic product of Ukraine are researched and analyzed. It is revealed that the balance of export-import operations has a significant impact on the gross domestic product of Ukraine. An econometric model of the dependence of the nominal gross domestic product on the value of exports of goods and services (coefficient of determination 0.9795) is calculated, using statistical information for 2005-2019 years. It is substantiated that with the increase in exports of goods and services by UAH 1 billion Ukraine's nominal GDP grows by an average of UAH 2.2642 billion. The value of coefficients of import dependence and coverage of import by export in foreign economic operations of Ukraine are analyzed. It is noted that the coefficient of import dependence significantly exceeds the allowable level in the study period, due to certain imbalances in foreign trade relations. The coefficient of coverage of imports by exports only in 2005 was greater than one, and during 2006-2019 it became less than one. In this regard, it is necessary to increase export operations, obtain a positive balance of payments, make effective economic and political decisions to increase exports of Ukrainian goods and services, reduce import dependence, using and implementing innovative methods of production and management.