This paper examines the nonlinear effects of investor sentiment on asset pricing in Bursa Malaysia. The Fama and French three-factor model is re-augmented within a time-varying Markov regime-switching framework to investigate the three risk premiums, conditioned by four different proxies for investor sentiment (i.e. marketwide indicators). The study finds evidence that the stock returns movement of Bursa Malaysia exhibits a nonlinear two regimes pattern. Besides, changes in the investor sentiment to some extent function as a mediator in the regime switching dynamics between bear and bull market cycles in Malaysian stock returns. It is also found that an increase in positive sentiment of investors leads to a higher transition probability of regime switching during bear markets. In addition, the three risk premiums are timevariant, contingent upon the fluctuation of the proxies for investor sentiment within discrete regimes. The study finds that in general, the market premium falls when the stock market switches from bull to bear markets. On the contrary, both the size and value premiums increase when the stock market moves from bull to bear markets.
Malaysia, a fast-growing developing country in Asia, has envisioned Shared Prosperity Vision 2030 to become a developed economy with high income via sustainable and inclusive economic growth by the year 2030. To accomplish this vision, female labour participation is needed as the female population constitutes almost half of Malaysia’s total population. However, female labour participation rate is way lower than Malaysia’s overall labour force participation rate.The relatively low female labour participation rate can be a barrier to Malaysia’s economic development and thus the realization of its goal of a high income nation.Therefore, this paper makes an attempt to examine empirically the long-run causal association among female labour force participation, economic growth, education, and fertility rate. The interrelationships among the variables are examined using the bounds test and Toda-Yamamoto granger non-causality methodology. The result of the study indicates a strong evidence of long-run relationship among the variables. Besides, we have found a significant inverted-U-shaped association linking the female labour force participation to the economic growth in Malaysia. The results of Granger causality tests further confirm that there is a strong evidence of bidirectional causality from education to economic growth as well as female labour participation. Besides, the results also show significant unidirectional causality from female labour force participation and fertility to economic growth.
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