IntroductionFalse-positive recall is an issue in national screening programmes. The aim of this study is to investigate the recall rate at first screen and to identify potential predictors of false-positive recall in a multi-ethnic Asian population-based breast cancer screening programme.MethodsWomen aged 50–64 years attending screening mammography for the first time (n = 25,318) were included in this study. The associations between potential predictors (sociodemographic, lifestyle and reproductive) and false-positive recall were evaluated using multivariable logistic regression models.ResultsThe recall rate was 7.6% (n = 1,923), of which with 93.8% were false-positive. Factors independently associated with higher false-positive recall included Indian ethnicity (odds ratio [95% confidence interval]: 1.52 [1.25 to 1.84]), premenopause (1.23 [1.04 to 1.44]), nulliparity (1.85 [1.57 to 2.17]), recent breast symptoms (1.72 [1.31 to 2.23]) and history of breast lump excision (1.87 [1.53 to 2.26]). Factors associated with lower risk of false-positive recall included older age at screen (0.84 [0.73 to 0.97]) and use of oral contraceptives (0.87 [0.78 to 0.97]). After further adjustment of percent mammographic density, associations with older age at screening (0.97 [0.84 to 1.11]) and menopausal status (1.12 [0.95 to 1.32]) were attenuated and no longer significant.ConclusionFor every breast cancer identified, 15 women without cancer were subjected to further testing. Efforts to educate Asian women on what it means to be recalled will be useful in reducing unnecessary stress and anxiety.
e12540 Background: An inflammatory state in various cancer populations may correlate with mortality. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio is a surrogate marker of an inflammatory state. A recent meta-analysis showed the predictive value of neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio in breast cancers, but series are generally small. We aim to study the associations of Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) with outcomes in stage I–III breast cancer in patients who received neo-adjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) or upfront surgery. The endpoints are overall survival (OS) and breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS). In the NAC group, association with pathological complete response (PCR) rate was also studied. Methods: Data of patients with stage I–III breast cancer treated from 2011–2017 were extracted from a prospectively maintained registry and merged with full blood count (FBC) results from a clinical management software. FBC were performed within one-month pre-chemo for NAC patients and one-month pre-surgery for upfront surgery patients. PCR is defined as stage ypT0/isN0M0. OS is defined as death from any cancer from diagnosis date, censored at last follow-up. BCSS is defined as death from breast cancer from diagnosis date, censored at last follow up or death from any cause. The NLR values with the maximal Youden’s indexes calculated for each outcome were used as cut-off, logistic regression was used to determine PCR association and cox regression and log rank for OS and BCSS. Results: A total of 2,479 eligible patients were analysed. Overall, treatment compliance was high (87.6% of ER+ patients received endocrine treatment, and 94.1% of HER2+ NAC patients had targeted therapy). In the NAC group (n = 357), 23% achieved PCR. NLR did not show any statistically significant association with PCR. In unadjusted analysis, high NLR was associated with worse BCSS (log-rank p = 0.003 figure 1). In multivariable analysis (MVA), only triple negative and HER-enriched cancers were significantly associated with PCR. In NAC patients, NLR was associated with OS (cut-off 2.63; OR 1.6, p = 0.077) and BCSS (cut-off 3.58; OR 2.2, p = 0.003) in MVA. In patients treated with up-front surgery (n = 2122), unadjusted analysis showed high NLR was associated with worse BCSS (OR 1.55, p = 0.05; figure 2). In MVA, NLR (cut-off 2.13, OR 1.57, p = 0.005), triple negative histology, stage and age were significant predictors of OS. BCSS was not significantly associated with NLR (OR 1.38 95%CI 0.90-2.12 p = 0.145). Conclusions: Using a large cohort of patients, a high NLR was found to be associated with worse outcomes in NAC and upfront surgery breast cancer patients.
e12548 Background: The ratios of blood-based inflammatory biomarkers, such as NLR and AGR, have been found to correlate with outcomes in various malignancies. Higher NLR values reflect a pro-inflammatory state and are generally associated with worse outcomes. Conversely, higher AGR values reflect a fitter nutritional status and/or less chronic inflammation, and may hence be associated with better outcomes. We aim to investigate the association between NLR and AGR with survival among stage I-III breast cancer patients treated curatively, and with pathological complete response (pCR) rates among patients who have undergone neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT). Methods: A retrospective study of stage I-III breast cancer patients treated in a healthcare cluster in Singapore from 2011-2017 was performed. Clinical data was extracted from a prospectively maintained registry alongside full blood count (FBC) and liver function test (LFT) results. FBC and LFT were performed either 1-month pre-chemotherapy or pre-operatively. pCR is defined as stage ypT0/isN0M0 among patients who have undergone NACT. Optimal cut-offs for the NLR and AGR values are determined by maximal Youden’s Index for pCR, DFS and OS. Multivariate logistic regression, with NLR, AGR, age, stage, grade, and subtype, was used, with survival data between groups compared using the Cox regression analysis and log-rank tests. Results: A total of 1,188 patients were included in our study, with 323 patients receiving NACT, and 865 patients undergoing upfront surgery. On multivariable analysis of patients treated with NACT, higher AGR was associated with higher pCR (cutoff >1.3, HR 2.0, p=0.02) and better DFS (>1.6, HR 0.4, p=0.02) while a higher NLR with worse DFS (>4.1, HR 1.8, p=0.03). In upfront surgery patients, higher AGR was associated with better OS (cutoff >1.2, HR 0.5, p=0.00) while a higher NLR predicted for worse OS (>2.4, HR 1.6, p=0.02). Conclusions: Inflammatory markers may be useful in predicting response to NACT and prognosticating survival. Larger studies should be undertaken to explore their value in clinical decision making. [Table: see text]
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