Background. In the face of poor prognosis and immunotherapy failure of gastric cancer (GC), this project tried to find new potential biomarkers for predicting prognosis and precision medication to ameliorate the situation. Methods. To form synthetic matrices, we retrieved stomach adenocarcinoma transcriptome data from Genotype-Tissue Expression Project (GTEx) and The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA). Necroptosis-related prognostic lncRNA was identified by coexpression analysis and univariate Cox regression. Then we performed the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) to construct the necroptosis-related lncRNA model. Next, the Kaplan–Meier analysis, time-dependent receiver operating characteristics (ROC), univariate Cox (uni-Cox) regression, multivariate Cox (multi-Cox) regression, nomogram, and calibration curves were made to verify and evaluate the model. Gene set enrichment analyses (GSEA), principal component analysis (PCA), immune analysis, and prediction of the half-maximal inhibitory concentration (IC50) in risk groups were also analyzed. For further discussing immunotherapy between the cold and hot tumors, we divided the entire set into two clusters based on necroptosis-related lncRNAs. Results. We constructed a model with 16 necroptosis-related lncRNAs. In the model, we found the calibration plots showed a good concordance with the prognosis prediction. The area’s 1-, 2-, and 3-year OS under the ROC curve (AUC) were 0.726, 0.763, and 0.770, respectively. Risk groups could be a guide of systemic treatment because of significantly different IC50 between risk groups. Above all, clusters could help distinguish between the cold and hot tumors effectively and contribute to precise mediation. Cluster 2 was identified as the hot tumor and more susceptible to immunotherapeutic drugs. Conclusion. The results of this project supported that necroptosis-related lncRNAs could predict prognosis and help make a distinction between the cold and hot tumors for improving individual therapy in GC.
BackgroundHepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most aggressive malignant tumors, with a poor long-term prognosis worldwide. The functional deregulations of global transcriptome were associated with the genesis and development of HCC, but lacks systematic research and validation.MethodsA total of 519 postoperative HCC patients were included. We built an interactive and visual competing endogenous RNA network. The prognostic signature was established with the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator algorithm. Multivariate Cox regression analysis was used to screen for independent prognostic factors for HCC overall survival.ResultsIn the training set, we identified a four-gene signature (PBK, CBX2, CLSPN, and CPEB3) and effectively predicted the overall survival. The survival times of patients in the high-score group were worse than those in the low-score group (p = 0.0004), and death was also more likely in the high-score group (HR 2.444, p < 0.001). The results were validated in internal validation set (p = 0.0057) and two external validation cohorts (HR 2.467 and 2.6). The signature (AUCs of 1, 2, 3 years were 0.716, 0.726, 0.714, respectively) showed high prognostic accuracy in the complete TCGA cohort.ConclusionsIn conclusion, we successfully built a more extensive ceRNA network for HCC and then identified a four-gene-based signature, enabling prediction of the overall survival of patients with HCC.Electronic supplementary materialThe online version of this article (10.1007/s12072-019-09962-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Background
Lymph node status and liver metastasis (LIM) are important in determining the prognosis of early colon carcinoma. We attempted to develop and validate nomograms to predict lymph node metastasis (LNM) and LIM in patients with early colon carcinoma.
Methods
A total of 32,819 patients who underwent surgery for pT1 or pT2 colon carcinoma were enrolled in the study based on their records in the SEER database. Risk factors for LNM and LIM were assessed based on univariate and multivariate binary logistic regression. The C-index and calibration plots were used to evaluate LNM and LIM model discrimination. The predictive accuracy and clinical values of the nomograms were measured by decision curve analysis. The predictive nomograms were further validated in the internal testing set.
Results
The LNM nomogram, consisting of seven features, achieved the same favorable prediction efficacy as the five-feature LIM nomogram. The calibration curves showed perfect agreement between nomogram predictions and actual observations. The decision curves indicated the clinical usefulness of the prediction nomograms. Receiver operating characteristic curves indicated good discrimination in the training set (area under the curve [AUC] = 0.667, 95% CI 0.661–0.673) and the testing set (AUC = 0.658, 95% CI 0.649–0.667) for the LNM nomogram and encouraging performance in the training set (AUC = 0.766, 95% CI 0.760–0.771) and the testing set (AUC = 0.825, 95% CI 0.818–0.832) for the LIM nomogram.
Conclusion
Novel validated nomograms for patients with early colon carcinoma can effectively predict the individualized risk of LNM and LIM, and this predictive power may help doctors formulate suitable individual treatments.
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