SummaryBackgroundThe prevalence of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Egypt is the highest in the world, yet the total economic burden has not been quantified. Improved understanding of costs and the impact of treatment strategies will provide for better allocation of resources to reduce HCV disease and economic burden.AimA modelling approach was used to quantify the current HCV‐infected population, future disease progression and associated costs in Egypt.MethodsDirect healthcare costs were calculated from a nationally representative hospital and a disability adjusted life year (DALY) template was used with monetary value assigned to lost life years. Three scenarios were considered: (i) Historical treatment scenario: 50% SVR; 65 000 treated annually, (ii) Current treatment scenario: 90% sustained virologic response (SVR); 65 000 treated annually, (iii) Increased treatment scenario: 90% SVR; 325 000 treated annually by 2018.ResultsCumulative DALYs (2015–2030) under Scenario 1 were estimated at 7.88 million and cumulative costs estimated at $89.07 billion. Annual DALYs increased 16% during 2015–2030 while annual costs more than doubled. Scenario 2 reduced cumulative DALYs and costs by 7% and 4%, respectively. Under Scenario 3, total costs declined 73% to $1047 million during 2015–2030. As compared to Scenario 1, cumulative DALYs and costs decreased 37% and 35%, respectively.ConclusionsThis is the first estimate of the total economic burden of HCV in Egypt. Extraordinary measures are necessary to substantially reduce HCV disease and cost burden. With newer therapies, strategies to reduce disease burden are feasible and cost‐effective.

Employment after orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT) indicates recipients' physical/psychosocial adjustment. Our aim was to determine clinical, socioeconomic and health-related quality of life parameters influencing employment after OLT. Questionnaire on demographics, medical conditions, alcohol and drug use before/after OLT, and a validated 12-Item Short Form Health Survey (SF-12) were mailed to 126 adult OLT patients. Stepwise logistic regression was conducted to identify best predictors of post-OLT employment. Among non-retirees, 49% were employed after OLT. The predictors of employment were: employment status, income, disability status before OLT and Model of End Stage Liver Disease score. These variables had prediction rate of 82%. Individuals working during the five yr prior to OLT were likely to return to work (p<0.0001), particularly those who held a job for >6 months prior to OLT (p<0.0001), income>$80 000 before OLT compared with <$30 000 (p=0.036). Patients receiving Social Security Insurance (SSI) payment for >or=6 months prior to OLT, were less likely to work (p=0.0005). Severity/duration of liver dysfunction prior to OLT did not correlate with employment. Sense of physical health was poorer in those employed after OLT than in unemployed (p=0.0003). Socioeconomic factors were the most important predictors of post-OLT employment.

SUMMARY BackgroundSirolimus is a potent immunosuppressive agent whose role in liver transplantation has not been well-described.

Rifaximin may be useful as a primary prevention of HRS.

The utility, efficacy and cost-effectiveness of establishing a prospective screening program for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in a low-cost setting as Egypt has not been previously studied. Eligible patients in this observational study were screened by ultrasound and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) every 6 months. A focal lesion on ultrasound or AFP >200 ng/ml or significant increase in 6 months indicated a recall. Characteristics of cases detected on screening were compared to patients diagnosed outside the screening program. Of 1,920 eligible patients, 1,286 patients participated and 102 patients (7.9 %) developed HCC, with an annual incidence of 5.3 %. Ninety-one (89.2 %) were BCLC stage 0 or A and 11 (10.8 %) stage D. Ultrasound detected a hepatic focal lesion in 99 patients, of which 74 were confirmed to be HCC, and AFP added another 28 HCC cases. The annual cost of detecting a treatable HCC case by ultrasound was 3,980 EGP ( 400) and by both ultrasound and AFP 4,645 EGP ( 500). Adding the cost of treatment, the cost/quality-adjusted life year (QALY) gained was 7,907 EGP ( 800)/QALY for screening with ultrasound only, and 8,430 EGP ( 850)/QALY for using both ultrasound and AFP, which in both cases is <50 % of the per capita GDP and <20 % of the accepted cost/QALY for Egypt. Screening for HCC is feasible and is highly cost-effective in a resource-limited setting. Adding AFP to ultrasound increased detection with a trivial addition to cost/QALY.