Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) have been among the leading advances in biomedicine in recent years. As a proxy of genetic liability, PRSs are utilised across multiple fields and applications. While numerous statistical and machine learning methods have been developed to optimise their predictive accuracy, these typically distil genetic liability to a single number based on aggregation of an individual’s genome-wide risk alleles. This results in a key loss of information about an individual’s genetic profile, which could be critical given the functional sub-structure of the genome and the heterogeneity of complex disease. In this manuscript, we introduce a ‘pathway polygenic’ paradigm of disease risk, in which multiple genetic liabilities underlie complex diseases, rather than a single genome-wide liability. We describe a method and accompanying software, PRSet, for computing and analysing pathway-based PRSs, in which polygenic scores are calculated across genomic pathways for each individual. We evaluate the potential of pathway PRSs in two distinct ways, creating two major sections: (1) In the first section, we benchmark PRSet as a pathway enrichment tool, evaluating its capacity to capture GWAS signal in pathways. We find that for target sample sizes of >10,000 individuals, pathway PRSs have similar power for evaluating pathway enrichment as leading methods MAGMA and LD score regression, with the distinct advantage of providing individual-level estimates of genetic liability for each pathway–opening up a range of pathway-based PRS applications, (2) In the second section, we evaluate the performance of pathway PRSs for disease stratification. We show that using a supervised disease stratification approach, pathway PRSs (computed by PRSet) outperform two standard genome-wide PRSs (computed by C+T and lassosum) for classifying disease subtypes in 20 of 21 scenarios tested. As the definition and functional annotation of pathways becomes increasingly refined, we expect pathway PRSs to offer key insights into the heterogeneity of complex disease and treatment response, to generate biologically tractable therapeutic targets from polygenic signal, and, ultimately, to provide a powerful path to precision medicine.

; for the Chinese Antipsychotics Pharmacogenomics Consortium IMPORTANCE The underlying mechanism for individual differences in patient response to antipsychotic medication remains unknown. OBJECTIVE To discover genes and gene sets harboring rare variants associated with short-term antipsychotic medication efficacy. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS In this multicenter, open-label, randomized clinical trial conducted between July 6, 2010, and December 31, 2011, 3023 patients recruited in China of Chinese Han descent with schizophrenia with total Positive and Negative Syndrome Scale (PANSS) score Ն 60 received a 6-week treatment of antipsychotic medications randomly chosen from 5 atypical and 2 typical antipsychotic medications. Whole-exome sequencing (WES) was performed in 316 participants (grouped into those with the best response [n=156] and those who had no response [n=160] to the antipsychotic medication prescribed), according to the total PANSS score reduction rate after 6 weeks of treatment. Validation was performed using targeted sequencing in an independent sample of 1920 patients. Data analyses was performed between March 15, 2016, and March 1, 2017. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES Drug efficacy at week 6 was assessed according to the change in PANSS scores from baseline. Extremely good and extremely poor responders were selected for an initial WES association study, from which a subset of genes showing putative association was selected for independent replication with a targeted sequencing approach. RESULTS Of the 3023 patients (1549 [51.24%] female and 1474 [48.8%] male; mean [SD] age, 31.2 [7.9] years), 2336 (77.3%) were eligible for genetic analysis. After quality-control exclusions, 316 patients (10.5%) were included for WES and 1920 (63.5%) were included for replication. In the WES discovery stage, 2 gene sets (reduced NMDA [N-methyl-D-aspartate]mediated synaptic currents and reduced AMPA [α-amino-3-hydroxy-5-methyl-4-isoxazole propionic acid]-mediated synaptic currents) were found to be enriched with rare damaging variants in the nonresponder group, suggesting the involvement of these gene sets in antipsychotic medication efficacy. Reduced NMDA-mediated synaptic currents gene set was further replicated in an independent sample using targeting sequencing. No statistically significant differences in antipsychotic drug response were found among the patients who received different antipsychotic drugs. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE Genetic variation in glutamatergic or NMDA neurotransmission is implicated in short-term antipsychotic medication efficacy; WES may have utility in the study of rare genetic variation in pharmacogenetics.

During the past decade, genetics research has allowed scientists and clinicians to explore the human genome in detail and reveal many thousands of common genetic variants associated with disease. Genetic risk scores, known as polygenic risk scores (PRSs), aggregate risk information from the most important genetic variants into a single score that describes an individual’s genetic predisposition to a given disease. This article reviews recent developments in the predictive utility of PRSs in relation to a person’s susceptibility to breast cancer and coronary artery disease. Prognostic models for these disorders are built using data from the UK Biobank, controlling for typical clinical and underwriting risk factors. Furthermore, we explore the possibility of adverse selection where genetic information about multifactorial disorders is available for insurance purchasers but not for underwriters. We demonstrate that prediction of multifactorial diseases, using PRSs, provides population risk information additional to that captured by normal underwriting risk factors. This research using the UK Biobank is in the public interest as it contributes to our understanding of predicting risk of disease in the population. Further research is imperative to understand how PRSs could cause adverse selection if consumers use this information to alter their insurance purchasing behaviour.