BackgroundThere is currently conflicting evidence surrounding the effects of obesity on postoperative outcomes. Previous studies have found obesity to be associated with adverse events, but others have found no association. The aim of this study was to determine whether increasing body mass index (BMI) is an independent risk factor for development of major postoperative complications.MethodsThis was a multicentre prospective cohort study across the UK and Republic of Ireland. Consecutive patients undergoing elective or emergency gastrointestinal surgery over a 4‐month interval (October–December 2014) were eligible for inclusion. The primary outcome was the 30‐day major complication rate (Clavien–Dindo grade III–V). BMI was grouped according to the World Health Organization classification. Multilevel logistic regression models were used to adjust for patient, operative and hospital‐level effects, creating odds ratios (ORs) and 95 per cent confidence intervals (c.i.).ResultsOf 7965 patients, 2545 (32·0 per cent) were of normal weight, 2673 (33·6 per cent) were overweight and 2747 (34·5 per cent) were obese. Overall, 4925 (61·8 per cent) underwent elective and 3038 (38·1 per cent) emergency operations. The 30‐day major complication rate was 11·4 per cent (908 of 7965). In adjusted models, a significant interaction was found between BMI and diagnosis, with an association seen between BMI and major complications for patients with malignancy (overweight: OR 1·59, 95 per cent c.i. 1·12 to 2·29, P = 0·008; obese: OR 1·91, 1·31 to 2·83, P = 0·002; compared with normal weight) but not benign disease (overweight: OR 0·89, 0·71 to 1·12, P = 0·329; obese: OR 0·84, 0·66 to 1·06, P = 0·147).ConclusionOverweight and obese patients undergoing surgery for gastrointestinal malignancy are at increased risk of major postoperative complications compared with those of normal weight.

Background: Patient selection for critical care admission must balance patient safety with optimal resource allocation. This study aimed to determine the relationship between critical care admission, and postoperative mortality after abdominal surgery. Methods: This prespecified secondary analysis of a multicentre, prospective, observational study included consecutive patients enrolled in the DISCOVER study from UK and Republic of Ireland undergoing major gastrointestinal and liver surgery between October and December 2014. The primary outcome was 30-day mortality. Multivariate logistic regression was used to explore associations between critical care admission (planned and unplanned) and mortality, and intercentre variation in critical care admission after emergency laparotomy. Results: Of 4529 patients included, 37.8% (n¼1713) underwent planned critical care admissions from theatre. Some 3.1% (n¼86/2816) admitted to ward-level care subsequently underwent unplanned critical care admission. Overall 30-day mortality was 2.9% (n¼133/4519), and the risk-adjusted association between 30-day mortality and critical care admission was higher in unplanned [odds ratio (OR): 8.65, 95% confidence interval (CI): 3.51e19.97) than planned admissions (OR: 2.32, 95% CI: 1.43e3.85). Some 26.7% of patients (n¼1210/4529) underwent emergency laparotomies. After adjustment, 49.3% (95% CI: 46.8e51.9%, P<0.001) were predicted to have planned critical care admissions, with 7% (n¼10/145) of centres outside the 95% CI. Conclusions: After risk adjustment, no 30-day survival benefit was identified for either planned or unplanned postoperative admissions to critical care within this cohort. This likely represents appropriate admission of the highest-risk patients. Planned admissions in selected, intermediate-risk patients may present a strategy to mitigate the risk of unplanned admission. Substantial inter-centre variation exists in planned critical care admissions after emergency laparotomies.

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Objectives: Necrotizing enterocolitis (NEC) is a life-threatening disease, and the most common gastrointestinal emergency in premature infants. Accurate early diagnosis is challenging. Modified Bells staging is routinely used to guide diagnosis, but early diagnostic signs are non-specific, potentially leading to unobserved disease progression, which is problematic given the often rapid deterioration observed. We investigated faecal cytokine levels, coupled with gut microbiota profiles, as a non-invasive method to discover specific NEC-associated signatures that can be applied as potential diagnostic markers. Study design: Premature babies born below 32 weeks of gestation were admitted to the 2-site neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) of Imperial College hospitals (St. Marys or Queen Charlottes & Chelsea) between January 2011 and December 2012. Faecal samples from diapers were collected consecutively during the NICU stay. Results: Evaluation of microbiota profiles revealed only minor differences. However, at later time points, significant changes in microbiota structure were observed for Firmicutes, with Enterococcus being the least abundant in Bell stage 2/3 NEC. Faecal cytokine levels were similar to those found in previous studies evaluating systemic cytokine concentrations in NEC settings, but measurement in faeces represents a non-invasive method to evaluate the early onset of the disease. For IL-1α, IL-5 and IL-10, a significantly rising gradient of levels were observed from healthy to NEC1 to NEC2/3. Conclusions: Differences in certain faecal cytokine profiles in patients with NEC indicate their potential use as diagnostic biomarkers to facilitate earlier diagnosis. Additionally, associations between microbial and cytokine profiles, contribute to improving knowledge about NEC pathogenesis.