Preserving residual kidney function (RKF) is important in the management of patients on peritoneal dialysis. However, few studies have examined the association between serum albumin level and the risk of RKF loss. We prospectively recruited 104 patients who began peritoneal dialysis treatment at our hospital between 2006 and 2016. The primary outcome was complete RKF loss, defined as urine volume < 100 mL/day. Serum albumin level at baseline was the main exposure. During a median observation period of 24 months, 33 patients developed RKF loss. A Cox proportional hazards model showed that hypoalbuminemia was associated with an increased risk of RKF, even after adjustments for potential confounding factors. Multivariable‐adjusted linear regression analysis also showed that hypoalbuminemia was associated with greater rates of decline in 24‐h urine volume and in renal Kt/V urea. Our findings suggest that hypoalbuminemia is associated with an increased risk of RKF loss in patients with peritoneal dialysis.
BackgroundAssessment of infection-related mortality remains inadequate in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis. This study was performed to develop a risk model for predicting the 2-year infection-related mortality risk in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis.MethodsThe study cohort comprised 606 patients who started and continued peritoneal dialysis for 90 at least days and was drawn from the Fukuoka Peritoneal Dialysis Database Registry Study in Japan. The patients were registered from 1 January 2006 to 31 December 2016 and followed up until 31 December 2017. To generate a prediction rule, the score for each variable was weighted by the regression coefficients calculated using a Cox proportional hazard model adjusted by risk factors for infection-related mortality, including patient characteristics, comorbidities, and laboratory data.ResultsDuring the follow-up period (median, 2.2 years), 138 patients died; 58 of them of infectious disease. The final model for infection-related mortality comprises six factors: age, sex, serum albumin, serum creatinine, total cholesterol, and weekly renal Kt/V. The incidence of infection-related mortality increased linearly with increasing total risk score (P for trend <0.001). Furthermore, the prediction model showed adequate discrimination (c-statistic = 0.79 [0.72–0.86]) and calibration (Hosmer–Lemeshow test, P = 0.47).ConclusionIn this study, we developed a new model using clinical measures for predicting infection-related mortality in patients undergoing peritoneal dialysis.
Background Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major cause of death in kidney transplant (KT) recipients. To improve their long-term survival, it is clinically important to estimate the risk of CVD after living donor KT via adequate pre-transplant CVD screening. Methods A derivation cohort containing 331 KT recipients underwent living donor KT at Kyushu University Hospital from January 2006 to December 2012. A prediction model was retrospectively developed and risk scores were investigated via a Cox proportional hazards regression model. The discrimination and calibration capacities of the prediction model were estimated via the c-statistic and the Hosmer–Lemeshow goodness of fit test. External validation was estimated via the same statistical methods by applying the model to a validation cohort of 300 KT recipients who underwent living donor KT at Tokyo Women’s Medical University Hospital. Results In the derivation cohort, 28 patients (8.5%) had CVD events during the observation period. Recipient age, CVD history, diabetic nephropathy, dialysis vintage, serum albumin and proteinuria at 12 months after KT were significant predictors of CVD. A prediction model consisting of integer risk scores demonstrated good discrimination (c-statistic 0.88) and goodness of fit (Hosmer–Lemeshow test P = 0.18). In a validation cohort, the model demonstrated moderate discrimination (c-statistic 0.77) and goodness of fit (Hosmer–Lemeshow test P = 0.15), suggesting external validity. Conclusions The above-described simple model for predicting CVD after living donor KT was accurate and useful in clinical situations.
Bilirubin is recognized as an endogenous antioxidant, and low serum bilirubin is reported to be associated with the progression of kidney disease. However, it is unclear whether serum bilirubin levels are associated with the loss of residual kidney function (RKF) in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. This study investigated the relationship between serum total bilirubin and loss of RKF. We prospectively followed 94 PD patients who started PD in our hospital between June 2006 and May 2016. Ten patients who had chronic liver disease or cirrhosis were excluded. Patients were divided into three groups based on serum total bilirubin concentration tertiles: tertile 1 (T1) < 0.3, T2 = 0.3, and T3 ≥ 0.4 mg/dL. We estimated the relationship between serum bilirubin and loss of RKF, defined as daily urine volume (<100 mL) within 3 years after starting PD, using a Cox proportional hazards model. During the 3‐year observation period, 22 patients lost RKF. The incidence rate of loss of RKF increased linearly with the decrease in serum total bilirubin levels (P for trend < 0.05). After adjusting for confounding factors, low serum total bilirubin level was shown to be an independent predictor of loss of RKF (hazard ratio [HR] for every 0.1 mg/dL decrease, 1.50; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.01–2.51; HR [95%CI] for T2 and T1 [vs. T3] 2.03 [0.65–7.88] and 3.70 [1.00–15.9]). This study suggests that low serum total bilirubin levels are associated with the loss of RKF in PD patients.
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