The rates of tuberculosis cases and clustered tuberculosis cases decreased both overall and among persons in high-risk groups. This occurred in a period during which tuberculosis control measures were intensified.
This study sought to better characterize the natural history of AIDS-associated disseminated Mycobacterium avium complex (MAC) infection. Towards that end two retrospective studies were done: a case-control survival study and a MAC respiratory colonization study. Among 137 consecutive patients who had a sterile body site cultured for mycobacteria within 3 months of their first AIDS-defining episode of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia, median survival was significantly shorter in those with disseminated MAC infection (107 days; 95% confidence interval [CI] 55-179) than those with negative cultures (275 days; 95% CI 230-318; P less than .01), even after controlling for age, absolute lymphocyte count, and hemoglobin concentration. Among 34 patients with AIDS and respiratory MAC colonization, 22 later developed disseminated infection (65% predictive value for subsequent MAC dissemination). Disseminated MAC infection was associated with significantly shorter survival for patients with AIDS, and the presence of MAC in respiratory specimens has substantial predictive value for subsequent disseminated infection.
The Pulmonary Complications of HIV Infection Study is a prospective, multicenter, observational study evaluating pulmonary disease among HIV-infected persons. For approximately 52 mo, 1,182 HIV-infected subjects were followed. All participants were evaluated for pulmonary disease on a predetermined schedule. There were 145 episodes of Pneumocystis carinii pneumonia (PCP). Low CD4 count correlated with risk of PCP (p < 0.0001); 79% had CD4 counts less than 100/microl and 95% had CD4 counts less than 200/microl. Subtle changes in diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLCO) were associated with PCP. Univariate analysis identified recurrent undiagnosed fevers, night sweats, oropharyngeal thrush, and unintentional weight loss to be associated with risk among persons with CD4 counts above 200/microl. Subjects in whom CD4 counts declined to below 200/microl and who were not receiving preventive therapy were nine times more likely to develop PCP within 6 mo compared with subjects who received such therapy. A strong trend toward differences between the sexes was detected. Black subjects had less than one third the risk of developing PCP as did white subjects (p < 0.0001). There was no significant difference in risk by HIV transmission category, study site, frequency of follow-up, age, education, smoking history, or use of antiretroviral therapy. Multivariable analysis revealed low CD4 lymphocyte count (p < 0.0001), use of prophylaxis (p < 0.0001), racial differences (p < 0.0001), and declining DLCO (p = 0.015) to influence risk. Constitutional signs and symptoms indicate increased risk for PCP among HIV-infected persons with CD4 counts above 200/microl.
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