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ObjectiveTo analyze the changing pattern in tumor type and postoperative deaths at a national referral center for esophageal cancer in the Western world and to assess prognostic factors for long-term survival after resection. Summary Background DataDuring the past two decades, the epidemiology and treatment strategies of esophageal cancer have changed markedly in the Western world. The influence of these factors on postoperative deaths and long-term prognosis has not been adequately evaluated. MethodsBetween 1982 and 2000, 1,059 patients with primary esophageal squamous cell cancer or adenocarcinoma had resection with curative intention at a single center. Patient and tumor characteristics and details of the surgical procedure and outcome were documented during this period. Follow-up was available for 95.8% of the patients. Changing patterns in tumor type and postoperative deaths were analyzed. Prognostic factors for longterm survival were assessed by multivariate analysis. ResultsThe prevalence of adenocarcinoma in patients with resected esophageal cancer increased markedly during the study period. The postoperative death rate decreased from about 10% before 1990 to less than 2% since 1994, coinciding with the introduction of a procedure-specific composite risk score and exclusion of high-risk patients from surgical resection. In addition to the well-established prognostic parameters, tumor cell type "adenocarcinoma" was identified as a favorable independent predictor of long-term survival after resection. The independent prognostic effect of tumor cell type persisted in the subgroups of patients with primary resection and patients with primary resection and R0 category.

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Changes in tumor metabolic activity after 14 days of preoperative chemoradiotherapy are significantly correlated with tumor response and patient survival. This suggests that FDG-PET might be used to identify nonresponders early during neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy, allowing for early modifications of the treatment protocol.