Present research is sought to analyse asymmetrical effects of exchange rates and income of tourists on tourist arrivals in Malaysia. A non-linear model has been formulated to examine symmetrical and asymmetrical effects of exchange rate quarterly data from year 2000 to 2017. Results have revealed that both depreciation and appreciation of domestic currency value lead to a decrease in number of inbound tourist arrivals at long run. Moreover, it is found that price rigidity in Malaysian tourism sector may influence decision of tourists to select alternative destination. Besides, reduction in the real-effective exchange rate does not have adverse effect in the long run.
This study empirically analyses bilateral trade of Turkey with her main trade partners using monthly time series data over the period of 2000 to 2015. J-curve theory and short-run dynamics of bilateral trade is tested by linear ARDL and Non-linear ARDL approaches. The empirical results indicate that there is no J-curve effect during short-run for United States and for France; it symmetrically exists to Germany and asymmetrically to United Kingdom. Also long-run relationship between exchange rate and trade balance has mixed results. Asymmetric long-run relationship between exchange rate and trade balance for United States exists where it is symmetrically most appropriate for Germany. In the other hand this study failed to verify any long-run relationship between exchange rate and trade balance for France and for United Kingdom.
This study examines the relationship between economic growth, renewable energy consumption, and carbon emissions in Iran between 1975–2017, and the bounds testing approach to cointegration and the asymmetric method was used in this study. The results reveal that in the long run increase in renewable energy consumption and CO2 emissions causes an increase in real GDP per capita. Meanwhile, the decrease in renewable energy has the same effect, but GDP per capita reacts more strongly to the rise in renewable energy than the decline. Besides, in the long run, a reduction of CO2 emissions has an insignificant impact on GDP per capita. Furthermore, the results from asymmetric tests suggest that reducing CO2 emissions and renewable energy consumption do not have an essential role in decreasing growth in the short run. In contrast, an increase in renewable energy consumption and CO2 emissions do contribute to boosting the growth. These results may be attributable to the less renewable energy in the energy portfolio of Iran. Additionally, the coefficients on capital and labor are statistically significant, and we discuss the economic implications of the results and propose specific policy recommendations.
The J‐curve hypothesis asserts that a depreciation could worsen the trade balance in the short run but improves it in the long run. In testing the hypothesis, almost all previous studies used trade data in goods only. We add to this literature by considering the US trade in insurance and financial services with each of its nine trading partners. Using quarterly data over the period 2003Q1–2019Q4, when we estimated a linear model, we found limited support for the J‐curve effect. However, when we estimated a nonlinear model to assess the possibility of asymmetric response of a service trade to exchange rate changes, we found much more support for the hypothesis. Precisely, we found support for the asymmetric J‐curve in the US insurance (finance) trade with Australia, Belgium, France, and Korea (Australia, Germany) and asymmetric inverse J‐curve in the US insurance (finance) trade with Germany, Italy, and United Kingdom (Belgium, Canada).
The J-curve outlines the path of movement in the trade balance after a currency is devalued or depreciated, deteriorating in the short run but improving in the long run. One study in this journal investigated the concept between the UK and each of its 10 large partners from the EU. The study found support for the J-curve effect in the UK trade balance with Belgium, Germany, France, Italy and Netherlands. However, the findings were based on sign misinterpretation. If correctly interpreted, the findings actually support the inverse J-curve, i.e., long-run deterioration in the bilateral trade balances. The results were based on using the linear ARDL approach. We revisit the issue and use the Nonlinear ARDL approach. We find support for the asymmetric Jcurve effect in the bilateral trade balance between the UK and France, Greece, Portugal and Spain and an asymmetric inverse J-curve in the case of Finland.
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