Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Patients (pts) with acute heart failure (AHF) are a heterogeneous population. Risk stratification at admission may help predict in-hospital complications and needs. ACTION ICU score is validated to estimate the risk of complications requiring ICU care in non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes. Objective To validate ACTION-ICU score in AHF as predictor of in-hospital M (IHM), post discharge early M [1-month mortality (1mM)] and 1-month readmission (1mRA), in our center population, using real-life data. Methods Based on a single-center retrospective study, data collected from pts admitted in the Cardiology department with AHF between 2010 and 2017. Pts without data on previous cardiovascular history or uncompleted clinical data were excluded. Statistical analysis used non-parametric tests, logistic regression analysis and ROC curve analysis. Results We included 300 pts admitted with AHF. Mean age was 67.4 ± 12.6 years old and 72.7% were male. 37.7% had previous history of revascularization procedures, 66.9% had hypertension, 41% were diabetic and 38% had dyslipidaemia. Mean heart rate was 95.5 ± 27.5bpm, mean systolic blood pressure (SBP) was 131.2 ± 37.0mmHg, mean urea level at admission was 68.8 ± 40.7mg/dL, mean sodium was 137.6 ± 4.7mmol/L, mean glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was 57.1 ± 23.5ml/min. 35.3% were admitted in Killip-Kimball class (KKC) 4. Mean ACTION-ICU score was 10.4 ± 2.3. Inotropes’ usage was necessary in 32.7% of the pts, 11.3% of the pts needed non-invasive ventilation (NIV), 8% needed invasive ventilation (IV). IHM rate was 5% and 1mM was 8%. 6.3% of the pts were readmitted 1 month after discharge. Older age (p < 0.001), lower SBP (p = 0,035), presenting in KKC 4 (p < 0.001, OR 8.13) and need of inotropes (p < 0.001) were predictors of IHM in our population. Older age (OR 1.06, p = 0.002, CI 1.02-1.10), lower SBP (OR 1.01, p = 0.05, CI 1.00-1.02) and lower left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) (OR 1.06, p < 0.001, CI 1.03-1.09) were predictors of need of NIV. None of the studied variables were predictive of need of IV. LVEF (OR 0.924, p < 0.001, CI 0.899-0.949), lower SBP (OR 0.80, p < 0.001, CI 0.971-0.988), higher urea (OR 1.01, p < 0.001, CI 1.005-1.018) and lower sodium (OR 0.92, p = 0.002, CI 0.873-0.971) were predictors inotropes’ usage. ACTION-ICU was able to predict IHM (OR 1.51, p = 0.02, CI 1.158-1.977), 1mM (OR 1.45, p = 0.002, CI 1.15-1.81) and inotropes’ usage (OR 1.22, p = 0.002, CI 1.08-1.39), but not 1mRA, the need of IV or NIV. ROC curve analysis revealed ACTION-ICU performs well when predicting IHM (Area under curve (AUC) 0.729, confidence interval (CI) 0.59-0.87), inotropes’ usage (AUC 0.619, CI 0.54-0.70) and 1mM (AUC 0.705, CI 0.58-0.84). Conclusion In our population, ACTION-ICU score was able to predict IHM, 1mM and inotropes’s usage.
Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Patients (P) with acute heart failure (AHF) are a heterogeneous population. Risk stratification at admission may help predict in-hospital complications and needs. The Get With The Guidelines Heart Failure score (GWTG-HF) predicts in-hospital mortality (M) of P admitted with AHF. ACTION ICU score is validated to estimate the risk of complications requiring ICU care in non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes. Objective To validate ACTION-ICU score in AHF and to compare ACTION-ICU to GWTG-HF as predictors of in-hospital M (IHM), early M [1-month mortality (1mM)] and 1-month readmission (1mRA), using real-life data. Methods Based on a single-center retrospective study, data collected from P admitted in the Cardiology department with AHF between 2010 and 2017. P without data on previous cardiovascular history or uncompleted clinical data were excluded. Statistical analysis used chi-square, non-parametric tests, logistic regression analysis and ROC curve analysis. Results Among the 300 P admitted with AHF included, mean age was 67.4 ± 12.6 years old and 72.7% were male. Systolic blood pressure (SBP) was 131.2 ± 37.0mmHg, glomerular filtration rate (GFR) was 57.1 ± 23.5ml/min. 35.3% were admitted in Killip-Kimball class (KKC) 4. ACTION-ICU score was 10.4 ± 2.3 and GWTG-HF was 41.7 ± 9.6. Inotropes’ usage was necessary in 32.7% of the P, 11.3% of the P needed non-invasive ventilation (NIV), 8% needed invasive ventilation (IV). IHM rate was 5% and 1mM was 8%. 6.3% of the P were readmitted 1 month after discharge. Older age (p < 0.001), lower SBP (p = 0,035) and need of inotropes (p < 0.001) were predictors of IHM in our population. As expected, patients presenting in KKC 4 had higher IHM (OR 8.13, p < 0.001). Older age (OR 1.06, p = 0.002, CI 1.02-1.10), lower SBP (OR 1.01, p = 0.05, CI 1.00-1.02) and lower left ventricle ejection fraction (LVEF) (OR 1.06, p < 0.001, CI 1.03-1.09) were predictors of need of NIV. None of the variables were predictive of IV. LVEF (OR 0.924, p < 0.001, CI 0.899-0.949), lower SBP (OR 0.80, p < 0.001, CI 0.971-0.988), higher urea (OR 1.01, p < 0.001, CI 1.005-1.018) and lower sodium (OR 0.92, p = 0.002, CI 0.873-0.971) were predictors of inotropes’ usage. Logistic regression showed that GWTG-HF predicted IHM (OR 1.12, p < 0.001, CI 1.05-1.19), 1mM (OR 1.10, p = 1.10, CI 1.04-1.16) and inotropes’s usage (OR 1.06, p < 0.001, CI 1.03-1.10), however it was not predictive of 1mRA, need of IV or NIV. Similarly, ACTION-ICU predicted IHM (OR 1.51, p = 0.02, CI 1.158-1.977), 1mM (OR 1.45, p = 0.002, CI 1.15-1.81) and inotropes’ usage (OR 1.22, p = 0.002, CI 1.08-1.39), but not 1mRA, the need of IV or NIV. ROC curve analysis revealed that GWTG-HF score performed better than ACTION-ICU regarding IHM (AUC 0.774, CI 0.46-0-90 vs AUC 0.731, CI 0.59-0.88) and 1mM (AUC 0.727, CI 0.60-0.85 vs AUC 0.707, CI 0.58-0.84). Conclusion In our population, both scores were able to predict IHM, 1mM and inotropes’s usage.
Funding Acknowledgements Type of funding sources: None. Introduction Patients (P) with acute heart failure (AHF) are a heterogeneous population. Therefore, early risk stratification at admission is essential. The Get With The Guidelines Heart Failure score (GWTG-HF) predicts in-hospital mortality (IHM) of patients admitted with AHF. GRACE score estimates risk of death, including IHM and long-term mortality (M), in non-ST elevation acute coronary syndromes. Objective To validate GRACE score in AHF and to compare GRACE and GWTG-HF scores as predictors of IHM, post discharge early and late M [1-month mortality (1mM) and 1-year M (1yM)], 1-month readmission (1mRA) and 1-year readmission (1yRA), in our center population, using real-life data. Methods Based on a single-center retrospective study, data collected from P admitted in the Cardiology department with AHF between 2010 and 2017. P without data on previous cardiovascular history or uncompleted clinical data were excluded. Statistical analysis used chi-square, non-parametric tests, logistic regression analysis and ROC curve analysis. Results 35.3% were admitted in Killip-Kimball class (KKC) 4. Mean GRACE was 147.9 ± 30.2 and mean GWTG-HF was 41.7 ± 9.6. Inotropes’ usage was necessary in 32.7% of the P, 11.3% of the patients needed non-invasive ventilation, 8% needed invasive ventilation. IHM rate was 5%, 1mM was 8% and 1yM 27%. 6.3% of the patients were readmitted 1 month after discharge and 52.7% had at least one more admission in the year following discharge. Older age (p < 0.001), lower SBP (p = 0,005), higher urea (p = 0,001), lower sodium (p = 0.005), previous history of percutaneous coronary intervention (p = 0,017), lower GFR (p < 0.001) and need of inotropes (0.001) were predictors of 1yM after discharge in our population. As expected, patients presenting in KKC 4 had higher IHM (OR 8.13, p < 0.001), higher 1mM (OR 4.13, p = 0.001) and higher 1yM (OR 1.96, p = 0.011). On the other hand, KKC at admission did not predict readmission (either 1mRA or 1yRA, respectively p = 0.887 and p = 0.695). Logistic regression confirmed that GWTG-HF was a good predictor of IHM (OR 1.12, p < 0.001, CI 1.05-1.19) but also 1mM (OR 1.1, p = 0.001, CI 1.04-1.16) and 1yM (OR 1.08, p < 0.001, CI 1.04-1.11). GRACE also showed the ability to predict IHM (OR 1.06, p < 0.001, CI 1.03-1.10), 1mM (OR 1.04, p < 0.001, CI 1.02-1.06) and 1yM (OR 1.03, p < 0.001, CI 1.01-1.03). ROC curve analysis revealed that GRACE and GWTG-HF were accurate at predicting IHM (AUC 0.866 and 0.774, respectively), 1mM (AUC 0.779 and 0.727, respectively) and 1yM (AUC 0.676 and 0.672, respectively). Both scores failed at predicting 1mRA (GRACE p = 0.463; GWTG-HF p = 0.841) and 1yRA (GRACE p = 0.244; GWTG-HF p = 0.806). Conclusion This study confirms that, in our population, both scores were excellent at predicting IHM, with GRACE performing better. Although both scores were able to predict post-discharge mortality outcomes, their performance was poorer.
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