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Aim. Reveal the methodological role of ideas about the geopolitical potential of the state in making managerial decisions in the development of the space of the Russian Arctic. The article presents an overview of fundamental research and articles by foreign authors that addresses the problem of realizing the geopolitical potential of the Arctic.Tasks. Development of the principles of geopolitical forecasting based on mathematical modeling of the geopolitical potential of the state and systematization of developments on the spatial development of the Russian Arctic as part of Greater Eurasia.Methods. Mathematical modeling of geopolitical processes, medium-term forecasting of the spatial development of the Russian Arctic in the face of challenges from foreign states claiming its natural resources and territorial waters.Results. It confirms the need to include scientific developments in the methodological apparatus of geopolitical research to identify qualitative and quantitative definitions of the geopolitical potential of the state, which contributes to ensuring the national security of Russia and improving its spatial development.Conclusions. The transition to the sixth technological mode is not limited to a radical transformation of the country’s production complex, but also implies the need to create a unified infrastructure architecture for the Greater Eurasia (“smart” Eurasia), into which the Russian Arctic organically fits.

The article traces the evolution of the Eurasian idea, starting from the initial stage of its formation, in the context of comparing it with the implementation of the Soviet project in the pre-war years on the basis of the first three five-year plans for socialist construction. Attempts to formalize the theoretical status of the Eurasian civilization were formed on the basis of ideas about “Russia–Eurasia” as a cultural personality, about the Eurasian state, often comparing these constructions with the real achievements of socialist construction and confidently declaring the Eurasian world order within Russia–Eurasia in the future.

This study focuses on the role of the Arctic Strategy of Russia in the Great Eurasian Partnership.Aim. The study aims to identify the features of the Arctic Strategy of Russia in the Great Eurasian Partnership.Tasks. The development of principles of geopolitical forecasting and work with big data, with the aim of synchronizing the integration processes contradictory in nature and interests of the actors in Greater Eurasia, identifying the features of the geopolitical regionalization of Eurasia, and analyzing the global security analytics of the Great Eurasian Partnership in the coming “digital era”.Methods. The transition from the “analog” to the “digital era” at the beginning of the 21st century meant an essentially revolution in the data itself, which was associated with the emergence of their new quality — predictive. The methodology for research and forecasting the prospects of Eurasian integration is modeling the multi-agent interaction of geopolitical factors of coalitions based on mathematical game theory. The strategy of transition to a polycentric world order implies the need to move from “geopolitical fiction” to geopolitics, based on mathematical modeling of global geopolitics processes using game theory methods.Results. The geopolitical regionalization of Eurasia is a challenge to time. On the expanses of the Eurasian continent, several multi-format long-term “Eurasian projects” are increasingly clearly emerging. This is, firstly, the Eurasian Economic Union, secondly, the Chinese One Belt-One Way and, thirdly, Indo-Pacifica. The Russian Arctic is a region of the Great Eurasian Partnership. The tasks of the modern Arctic policy of Russia are focused on ensuring the priority growth of raw materials exports and industrial development of the Arctic territories, rather than on solving the problems of improving the quality of life of the local population, although in the Russian Arctic strategy until 2035 these tasks are formulated quite correctly.Conclusion. The analytics of the Eurasian partnership and the wording of expert assessments should be formed on the basis not only of political discourse, but also of exact sciences. In modern conditions, the development of scenario projects for the construction of the Great Eurasian Partnership, which includes the Greater Arctic (which, in turn, require an independent theoretical and methodological study), involves the full use of the apparatus of mathematical geopolitics (game theory), scenario modeling and big data technologies.