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The prediction of energy consumption is the basis for working out the development of the electric and heat-power industry in a region in prospect. The works of the G.M. Krzhizhanovskii Energetic Institute, the All-Russian SPSRI (State Planning, Surveying and Research Institute) Energosetproyekt, as well as a number of other researches were devoted to this problem [1,2]. The methodical developments and calculations of the prospective levels and regimes of electricity consumption in the Republic of Komi (RK) and Arkhangelsk Region have been carried out for many years in Komi at the scientific center of the Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences [3,4,5]. This research has become more complicated in recent years, which is connected both with the need for solving new methodical and information problems and with an increase in the uncertainty of the socioeconomic development in a region.Many versatile approaches, methods and models for forecasting energy consumption in the long-term outlook are known, but all of them are not deprived of disadvantages. The main disadvantage of statistical methods consists in the small degree of detailing the forecasted indices and low level of credibility to results obtained. This is determined by the fact that the concrete reasons for occurring changes in the level of energy consumption are concealed within the limits of general tendencies, and that the interrelations with both the changes in the socioeconomic development of a region and the ratio of electricity, heat, and fuel consumption are absent. In addition, the use of these incomes for forecasting the electricity consumption of a small region or separate administrative district can lead to significant errors. As for the developed mathematical models, the potential of their use is limited, since most of them are intended to calculate the energy consumption in the country as a whole.The main energy-intensive enterprises-consumers of the fuel-energetic and timber-industry complexes, communal-general sector, and non-manufacturing business will remain in the RK in the prospective period. Their share in the total electricity consumption of the republic amounted to 61% in 2007. Therefore, the increase in the degree of reliability of forecasting the energy consumption level will be particularly important for the leading industries of the RK. In our opinion, the method taking into account the change in the output volume of a branch, structural and technological shifts, changes in the degree of mechanization and electrification answers this task. The normative method (of direct calculation) corresponds to these requirements to the greatest extent, according to which the consumption volumes are determined as a product of the planned outputs of each type of production by approved standards with consideration for fulfilling the task of the scientific-technical progress as well as specific energy and fuel expenditures for production. However, under the conditions of post-reform economy, this method of forecasting has lost its signific...