Summary:Prognostic scoring systems based on physiological parameters have been established in order to predict the outcome of ICU patients. It has been demonstrated that the predictive value of these scores is limited in patients following hematopoietic stem cell transplantation (HSCT). Therefore, we evaluated patients from the Dü sseldorf pediatric stem cell transplantation center with regard to predisposing factors and prognostic variables for ICU treatment and outcome. Between January 1989 and December 1998, 180 HSCT have been performed. The clinical, laboratory and HSCT-related parameters such as conditioning treatment, engraftment, GVHD, infections and HSCT toxicity were prospectively recorded and retrospectively analyzed. Established pediatric scoring systems (PRISM, TISS, P-TISS) were applied. Twenty-eight patients required intensive care (16 male, 12 female, median age: 10.9 years (range: 0.4 to 18.9 years), five autologous, 13 allogeneic-related and 10 unrelated transplanted patients). Ventilator-dependent respiratory failure was the most frequent cause of admission to the ICU (n ‫؍‬ 23). Fourteen of 28 patients were discharged from ICU, and six of 28 patients achieved a long-term survival (110 to 396 weeks). At admission to the ICU, impaired cardiovascular status, high CRP levels and presence of macroscopic bleeding were each associated with fatal outcome (P Ͻ 0.05). The Pediatric Risk of Mortality (PRISM) score was not prognostically significant at the 0.

Prognostic scores, such as the PRISM and APACHE II, have been established, predicting with reasonable accuracy the outcome of patients admitted to intensive care units (ICU). In keeping with previous reports, we found, however, that these scores failed to perform in a series of 28 recipients of hematopoietic auto- or allografts (BMT) who required ICU admission for reasons including respiratory (82%) and multi-organ (36%) failure. We therefore retrospectively analyzed the charts of these patients, evaluating predisposing factors and prognostic variables which might confound the validity of these ICU tools which in other clinical scenarios have proven so valuable. Of all the parameters tested, logistic analysis established the following as predictors for poor outcome: increased C-reactive protein (CRP) to > 10 mg/dl (P = 0.04), macroscopic hemorrhage (P = 0.04), hypotension (mean arterial pressure < normal) (P = 0.04) and GVHD > or = III (P = 0.002). Most of these factors are not accounted for by the standard prognostic questionnaires. The development of an 'oncological' or 'post-BMT' risk of mortality score, taking into account these patients' specific clinical problems, might improve the risk assessment for this patient group, and might thus facilitate the timely recognition of those patients most in need of more intensive therapeutic measures.