BACKGROUND: No-shows, a major issue for healthcare centers, can be quite costly and disruptive. Capacity is wasted and expensive resources are underutilized. Numerous studies have shown that reducing uncancelled missed appointments can have a tremendous impact, improving efficiency, reducing costs and improving patient outcomes. Strategies involving machine learning and artificial intelligence could provide a solution. OBJECTIVE: Use artificial intelligence to build a model that predicts no-shows for individual appointments. DESIGN: Predictive modeling. SETTING: Major tertiary care center. PATIENTS AND METHODS: All historic outpatient clinic scheduling data in the electronic medical record for a one-year period between 01 January 2014 and 31 December 2014 were used to independently build predictive models with JRip and Hoeffding tree algorithms. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES: No show appointments. SAMPLE SIZE: 1 087 979 outpatient clinic appointments. RESULTS: The no show rate was 11.3% (123 299). The most important information-gain ranking for predicting no-shows in descending order were history of no shows (0.3596), appointment location (0.0323), and specialty (0.025). The following had very low information-gain ranking: age, day of the week, slot description, time of appointment, gender and nationality. Both JRip and Hoeffding algorithms yielded a reasonable degrees of accuracy 76.44% and 77.13%, respectively, with area under the curve indices at acceptable discrimination power for JRip at 0.776 and at 0.861 with excellent discrimination for Hoeffding trees. CONCLUSION: Appointments having high risk of no-shows can be predicted in real-time to set appropriate proactive interventions that reduce the negative impact of no-shows. LIMITATIONS: Single center. Only one year of data. CONFLICT OF INTEREST: None.

Background Social capital has been associated with health outcomes in communities and can explain variations in different geographic localities. Social capital has also been associated with behaviors that promote better health and reduce the impacts of diseases. During the COVID-19 pandemic, social distancing, face masking, and vaccination have all been essential in controlling contagion. These behaviors have not been uniformly adopted by communities in the United States. Using different facets of social capital to explain the differences in public behaviors among communities during pandemics is lacking. Objective This study examines the relationship among public health behavior—vaccination, face masking, and physical distancing—during COVID-19 pandemic and social capital indices in counties in the United States. Methods We used publicly available vaccination data as of June 2021, face masking data in July 2020, and mobility data from mobile phones movements from the end of March 2020. Then, correlation analysis was conducted with county-level social capital index and its subindices (family unity, community health, institutional health, and collective efficacy) that were obtained from the Social Capital Project by the United States Senate. Results We found the social capital index and its subindices differentially correlate with different public health behaviors. Vaccination is associated with institutional health: positively with fully vaccinated population and negatively with vaccination hesitancy. Also, wearing masks negatively associates with community health, whereases reduced mobility associates with better community health. Further, residential mobility positively associates with family unity. By comparing correlation coefficients, we find that social capital and its subindices have largest effect sizes on vaccination and residential mobility. Conclusion Our results show that different facets of social capital are significantly associated with adoption of protective behaviors, e.g., social distancing, face masking, and vaccination. As such, our results suggest that differential facets of social capital imply a Swiss cheese model of pandemic control planning where, e.g., institutional health and community health, provide partially overlapping behavioral benefits.

Twitter provides a valuable resource for opinion mining, which many applications can take place in investigating peoples' interests and concerns. In this paper, we are interested to investigate users' main concerns regarding the national Saudi vision of 2030. As the vision has many tracks of planning, we investigated the education and health sectors. The aim of this study is to show people's focus and interest in implementing this vision. For this, some unsupervised Machine Learning techniques are implemented. Three clustering algorithms are experimented (K-means, Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA) and Non-negative Matrix Factorization (NMF)). LDA and NMF give promising results, as both clustered the data into two significant discriminative clusters with a silhouette coefficient equals to 0.639 and 0.538 respectively. While K-means provides overlapped clusters with a silhouette coefficient equals to 0.181. Therefore, our models are able to cluster Arabic tweets in the context of the Saudi national vision. Additionally, they showed that the national vision 2030 is implemented in education more than in healthcare.

Background Social capital has been associated with health outcomes in communities and can explain variations in different geographic localities. Social capital has also been associated with behaviors that promote better health and reduce the impacts of diseases. During the COVID-19 pandemic, social distancing, face masking, and vaccination have all been essential in controlling contagion. These behaviors have not been uniformly adopted by communities in the United States. Using different facets of social capital to explain the differences in public behaviors among communities during pandemics is lacking. Objective This study examines the relationship among public health behavior, vaccination, face masking, and physical distancing during COVID-19 pandemic and social capital indices in counties in the United States. Methods We used publicly available vaccination data as of June 2021, face masking data in July 2020, and mobility data from mobile phones movements from the end of March 2020. Then, correlation analysis was conducted with county-level social capital index and its subindices (family unity, community health, institutional health, and collective efficacy) that were obtained from the Social Capital Project by the United States Senate. Results We found the social capital index and its subindices differentially correlate with different public health behaviors. Vaccination is associated with institutional health: positively with fully vaccinated population and negatively with vaccination hesitancy. Also, wearing masks negatively associates with community health, whereases reduced mobility associates with better community health. Further, residential mobility positively associates with family unity. By comparing correlation coefficients, we find that social capital and its subindices have largest effect sizes on vaccination and residential mobility. Conclusion Our results show that different facets of social capital are significantly associated with adoption of protective behaviors, e.g., social distancing, face masking, and vaccination. As such, our results suggest that differential facets of social capital imply a Swiss cheese model of pandemic control planning where, e.g., institutional health and community health, provide partially overlapping behavioral benefits.

Learning models that are robust to test-time distribution shifts is a key concern in domain generalization, and in the wider context of their real-life applicability. Invariant Risk Minimization (IRM) is one particular framework that aims to learn deep invariant features from multiple domains, and has subsequently led to further variants. A key assumption for the success of these methods requires that the underlying causal mechanisms/features remain invariant across domains and the true invariant features be sufficient to learn the optimal predictor. In practical problem settings, these assumptions are often not satisfied, which leads to IRM learning a sub-optimal predictor for that task. In this work, we propose the notion of partial invariance as a relaxation of the IRM framework. Under our problem setting, we first highlight the sub-optimality of the IRM solution. We then demonstrate how partitioning the training domains, assuming access to some meta-information about the domains, can help improve the performance of invariant models via partial invariance. Finally, we conduct several experiments, both in linear settings as well as with classification tasks in language and images with deep models, which verify our conclusions.