Adult-to-adult living donor liver transplantation (ALDLT) has been accepted as an important option for end-stage liver disease, but information regarding the risk factors remains fragmentary. We aimed to establish a predictive model for 90-day survival. In the first step, a total of 286 cases who had received primary ALDLT using a right lobe graft between 1998 and 2004 were randomly divided into 2 cohorts at a ratio of 2:1 (191 vs. 95 recipients). The larger cohort of patients was used to develop a model. The outcome was defined as 90-day survival, and a total of 39 preoperative and operative variables, including the period of surgery (1998-2001 vs. 2002-2004) (1998-2001 vs. 2002-2004) (HR ϭ 2.41; CI ϭ 1.04-5.57), and log e [serum C-reactive protein or CRP] (HR ϭ 1.64; CI ϭ 1.13-2.38) were found to be independent risk factors. In the second step, we tried to establish a realistic survival model. In this step, we created 2 models, 1 that used all 4 variables (model 1) and 1 (model 2) in which blood loss volume was replaced with the past history of upper abdominal surgery and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score (Ն25), both of which showed associations with blood loss volume. These models were applied to the smaller cohort of 95 patients. Receiver operating characteristic analyses demonstrated that both models showed similar significant c-statistics (0.63 and 0.62, respectively). In conclusion, model 2 can provide a rough estimation of the 90-day survival after ALDLT. Adult-to-adult living donor liver transplantation (ALDLT) has been established as a safe procedure for both donors and recipients, [1][2][3] and is now accepted as the first option for end-stage liver disease in Japan. In Western countries, a recent chronic shortage of deceased donor livers has caused a bottleneck in liver transplants, which in turn has fueled the spread of ALDLT. [4][5][6] For effective use of donated liver grafts, it is important to detect the preoperative risks associated with survival after liver transplantation. A number of prior studies have attempted to determine risk factors that can predict patient survival after deceased donor liver transplantation. We have experience with 286 cases of ALDLT using a right lobe graft in our institution since February 1998. At the present time, 78 cases have died, resulting in a mortality rate of 27.3%. The observation that the majority of mortality or graft failure (53.8%) occurs within the initial 90-day period strongly suggests that there are unexplored risk factors for shortterm survival after ALDLT.The major aim of the present study was to build a quantitative predictive model for ALDLT focusing on the 90-day survival. This goal was achieved via 2 steps.Abbreviations: ALDLT, adult-to-adult living donor liver transplantation; HLA, human leukocyte antigen; CRP, C-reactive protein; HR, hazard ratio; CI, confidence interval; MELD, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease. Address reprint requests to Ichiro Tsunematsu, M.D.,