Penelitian ini menggunakan studi kasus pada PT Fajar Mas Murni Surabaya yang bertujuan untuk mengklasifikasikan masing-masing item stok spare part dengan pendekatan matriks BCG guna menentukan strategi penjualan stok item spare part. Hasil klasifikasi dengan matriks BCG diperoleh 6.60% item termasuk dalam kuadran stars yang menyumbang omzet 80.67% bagi perusahaan, 15.57% item termasuk dalam kuadran question marks yang menyumbang omzet 14.95% bagi perusahaan, 71.70% item termasuk dalam kuadran dogs yang menyumbang omzet hanya 1.87% bagi perusahaan, dan 6.13% termasuk dalam kuadran cash cows yang menyumbang omzet 2.50% bagi perusahaan. Analisis strategi yang sebaiknya dilakukan pada kuadran stars adalah dengan melakukan forecasting penjualan untuk menjaga kontinuitas stok spare part, pada kuadran question marks yang sebaiknya dilakukan adalah mengembangkan nilai penjualan dengan menjual item secara diskon agar terjadi peningkatan volume penjualan dan dapat menghabiskan stok, sedangkan pada kuadran dogs alternatif strategi yang sebaiknya dilakukan adalah lebih meningkatkan kegiatan promosi dari item-item tersebut, dan pada kuadran cash cows adalah dengan mempertahankan penjualan. Kemudian dilakukan forecasting penjualan pada item stok spare part kuadran stars tahun 2018 agar tetap terjaga kontinuitasnya dengan menggunakan metode trend (T) rata-rata bergerak dengan variasi siklus (C), variasi musim (S), dan gerak tak beraturan (I) karena memberikan nilai MAPE yang lebih kecil yaitu 23% dan 27% ketika hanya menggunakan metode trend.
One crossroad of Surabaya whose high level of congestion is the crossing of Jemur Andayani – Ahmad Yani Street. It needs to Improve traffic management, geometric, and signal time to obtain optimal traffic performance. The purpose of this study is to make a model of traffic flow and determine the optimal total waiting time at the crossing of Jemur Andayani – Ahmad Yani using Compatible Graph. Compatible graphs are two sets where vertices indicate objects to be arranged and edges indicate compatible pairs of objects. Compatible traffic flow is two traffic flows which if both of them run simultaneously can run safely and not collide. The results of the optimal waiting time calculation using a compatible graph assuming the left turn following the lamp is 75 seconds. While the optimal total waiting time by assuming the left turn not following the lights is 60 seconds. The optimal total waiting time is smaller than the actual total waiting time currently applied at Frontage Ahmad Yani street, which is 170 seconds by assuming turn left following the lights.
ISSI reflects the movement of sharia stock prices as a whole. It is necessary to forecast the share price to help investors determine whether the shares should be sold, bought, or retained. This study aims to predict the value of ISSI using nonparametric kernel regression. The kernel regression method is one of the nonparametric regression methods used to estimate conditional expectations using kernel functions. Kernel functions used in this study are gaussian and Epanechnikov kernel functions. The estimator used is the estimator Nadaraya-Watson. This study aims to compare the two kernel functions to predict the value of ISSI in the period from January 2016 to October 2019. The analysis results obtained the best method in predicting ISSI values, namely nonparametric kernel regression using Nadaraya-Watson estimator and Gaussian kernel function with the MAPE value of 15% and the coefficient of determination of 85%. Independent variables that significantly affect ISSI are interest rates, exchange rates, and inflation. Curve smoothing is done using bandwidth value (h) searched by the Silverman rule. The calculation result with the Silverman rule obtained a bandwidth value of 101832.7431.
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