Short-term traffic parameter forecasting is critical to modern urban traffic management and control systems. Predictive accuracy in data-driven traffic models is reduced when exposed to non-recurring or non-routine traffic events, such as accidents, road closures, and extreme weather conditions. The analytical mining of data from social networksspecifically twittercan improve urban traffic parameter prediction by complementing traffic data with data representing events capable of disrupting regular traffic patterns reported in social media posts. This paper proposes a deep learning urban traffic prediction model that combines information extracted from tweet messages with traffic and weather information. The predictive model adopts a deep Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) stacked autoencoder (SAE) architecture for multi-step traffic flow prediction trained using tweets, traffic and weather datasets. The model is evaluated on an urban road network in Greater Manchester, United Kingdom. The findings from extensive empirical analysis using real-world data demonstrate the effectiveness of the approach in improving prediction accuracy when compared to other classical/statistical and machine learning (ML) state-of-the-art models. The improvement in predictive accuracy can lead to reduced frustration for road users, cost savings for businesses, and less harm to the environment.
Load forecasting is a critical element of power system operation, involving prediction of the future level of demand to serve as the basis for supply and demand planning. This paper presents the development of a novel clustering-based fuzzy wavelet neural network (CB-FWNN) model and validates its prediction on the short-term electric load forecasting of the Power System of the Greek Island of Crete. The proposed model is obtained from the traditional Takagi-Sugeno-Kang fuzzy system by replacing the THEN part of fuzzy rules with a "multiplication" wavelet neural network (MWNN). Multidimensional Gaussian type of activation functions have been used in the IF part of the fuzzyrules. A Fuzzy Subtractive Clustering scheme is employed as a pre-processing technique to find out the initial set and adequate number of clusters and ultimately the number of multiplication nodes in MWNN, while Gaussian Mixture Models with the Expectation Maximization algorithm are utilized for the definition of the multidimensional Gaussians. The results corresponding to the minimum and maximum power load indicate that the proposed load forecasting model provides significantly accurate forecasts, compared to conventional neural networks models.
Traffic parameter forecasting is critical to effective traffic management but is a challenging task due to the stochasticity of traffic flow characteristics, especially in urban road networks. Traffic networks can be affected by external factors, such as weather, events, accidents, and road construction networks. The impact of these factors can affect traffic flow parameters by influencing travel time, density, and operating speed. Although deep neural networks (DNNs) have recently shown promising signs in traffic prediction using big data, there still exists the issue of maximizing the use of the model capabilities by using big data sources. This paper proposes an improved urban traffic speed prediction approach involving input-level data fusion and deep learning. Motivated by deep learning prediction methods, we propose a Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM-NN) for traffic speed prediction that combines traffic and weather datasets on an urban road network in Greater Manchester, United Kingdom. The experimental results substantiate the value of the approach when compared to the use of traffic-only data sources for traffic speed prediction.
Web usage mining can contribute to finding significant educational knowledge. It can play a vital role in the personalisation aspects of any domain. We propose a framework for personalizing e-learning that necessitates careful attention towards individual learning styles. We focus on identifying learning patterns of learners and the sequence of choosing learning resources in relation to their learning styles. A prototype for an adaptive web based course has been developed where the learning environment is modifying its behaviour to reflect learning styles.
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