The prolonged hostilities in Eastern Ukraine and the annexation of the Crimea by Russia have led to the forced migration of domestic refugees to other regions of Ukraine. In the context of inefficient institutional mechanisms of state support for internally relocated persons, additional threats to the development of hosting territories in the social sphere are emerging. The problems of regional development caused by the placement of internally displaced persons in the region remain under-researched. There is no comprehensive study of the impact of internally displaced persons on the socio-economic development of the hosting regions, and the extent of internal forced migration and related problems remain unaddressed in determining the level of social security of Ukrainian regions.The purpose of the article is to determine the impact of internal forced migration on the level of social security of the regions with the highest concentration of internally displaced persons. To achieve this goal, the following research methods were used: calculation of the integral indicator of social security of the regions where the largest number of migrants is concentrated; assessment of the effect of concentration of internally displaced persons in the region on the social security of the region; regression analysis of relations between social security indicators in all regions of Ukraine in the period of 2014-2018.

Доктор економічних наук, доцент, завідувач кафедри маркетингу та економічної безпеки Львівського ін-ституту менеджменту. Babets I.

The relationship between the components of regional economic security and their dependence on changes taking place in the external environment is analyzed. It is proved that such components of regional economic security as foreign trade, productive, scientific and technological, and investment components are directly influenced by foreign economic factors, as these life spheres are subject to the rise of primary effects or consequences of external factors. A five-step methodology to study the way foreign economic factors influence regional economic security is developed. At the first step, external environment is analyzed, and a system of indicators is formed taking into account relevant external factors influencing the components of economic security, where the primary effects of the impact of these factors are observed. The second step involves the following: determining the integrated indicator for each component of the regional economic security; assessing the impact of foreign economic factors produced on the change of the relevant integrated indicator by the sensitivity method; and ranking indicators according to the level of threats arising from the deterioration of the correspondence of their actual values to security criteria. The third step is only relevant for the most influential indicators directly related to foreign economic factors. Here, change forecasts are developed. The fourth step concerns indicators with a probability of less than 50% of the optimistic change forecast and more than 50% of the pessimistic change forecast, which requires justification of measures taken to optimize them and ensure compliance with economic security criteria. The fifth step is modeling economic security components for a short term period by the method of change forecasts using hypothetical values of indicators calculated on the basis of forecasting.

The author of article suggests a method to evaluate the efficiency of using the transport services potential taking into consideration the share of services estimated in gross added value and output present in a region, employment level, investment supply, international competitiveness, the structure of taxes paid, and the shadow rate of business activity. Positive dynamics of the integrated efficiency value in using the transport services potential has been determined in the majority of the Ukrainian regions in the years 2013-2018. A sensitivity coefficient has been estimated for every variable in the integrated efficiency value in using the transport services potential. Substantial sensitivity of the integrated value to changes in the shadow rate level in transportation services is typical for the majority of the Ukrainian regions. On grouping the Ukrainian regions on the basis of sensitivity coefficient of the integrated value to changes in the shadow rate level in transportation services in 2018, the author has identified the regions with high, medium and low sensitivity and described the peculiarities of such groups according to their main features. The main causes of raising the efficiency of using the transport services potential have been determined, namely: unshadowing of enterprises activity; increasing the share of profitable enterprises in the total number of enterprises providing transportation services; increasing the share of the personal income tax in the total of taxes paid by enterprises; employment level. A number of measures have been suggested to raise the efficiency of using the transport services potential, to decrease the amount of “shadow” business, to increase business profitability, and to reduce informal employment

The article is concerned with a study of problems and directions of increasing the competitiveness of domestic producers in the face of global challenges. Based on the analysis of the level and dynamics of indices of globalization together with indices of globalization of trade in both Ukraine and the world, the main most important stages of globalization in Ukraine, including in international trade, are allocated. It is defined that in Ukraine, in contrast to the global tendency, changes in globalization processes occur more intensively. The key factors ensuring the growth of competitiveness of domestic exporters in the world market, the export structure of Ukraine’s international trade, including in the regional context, and the contribution of Ukraine’s regions to the export activities of the State are analyzed. It is proved that Russia’s full-scale military invasion will have the greatest impact on the export capabilities of enterprises in the east and south of Ukraine (where active hostilities are taking place), as well as those regions that border Russia and/or have already suffered large-scale destruction during the war (Kyiv, Sumy, and Chernihiv regions). Thus, the loss of Ukraine’s export potential, especially in commodity trade, taking into account export logistical problems, will be critical in 2022. The main instruments of the State support for Ukrainian exporting enterprises in the conditions of war are analyzed and measures to increase the competitiveness of domestic producers in modern turbulent conditions of development are proposed.