Concerns about the human effects of climate change have contributed to forecasts of how populations in drought-prone and flood-prone areas would respond to these events. Empirical studies have predicted that human migration has been among the critical resilient strategy in responding to the impact of climate change. To obtain a more comprehensive understanding of the climate-migration relationship, the impacts of climate change on international migration flows from sub-Saharan Africa nations to South Africa are investigated empirically in this paper. The study employed static and dynamic models and panel data from 35 countries in sub-Saharan Africa, spanning 1990 to 2017. The findings are as follows: (1) The analysis shows that historical temperature has a positive and statistically significant effect on outmigration in agriculture-dependent nations.(2) The analysis shows that agricultural value added as a share in gross domestic product has a negative and statistically significant effect on outmigration in agriculture-dependent nations.(3) The results also show that geographic location and development level of a country, in addition to dependency on agriculture, are key factors in the climate change-international migration nexus. Policy implications are discussed. | INTRODUCTIONIt is becoming increasingly difficult to ignore the causes and impacts of climate change across the world and in all aspects of life. Climate change, in particular, is responsible for decreased agricultural productivity and increased food insecurity (Food and Agriculture Organization [FAO], 2019). The potential for large-scale movement of portions of the human population is one frequently cited response to the
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
customersupport@researchsolutions.com
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
This site is protected by reCAPTCHA and the Google Privacy Policy and Terms of Service apply.
Copyright © 2025 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.