Motivated by upcoming photometric and spectroscopic surveys (Vera C. Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST), Manuakea Spectroscopic Explorer), we design the statistical proxies to measure the cadence effects on active galactic nuclei (AGN) variability-observables (time-lags, periodicity, and structure-function (SF)). We constructed a multiple-regression model to statistically identify the cadence-formal error pattern knowing AGN time-lags and periodicity from different surveys. We defined the simple metric for the SF’s properties, accounting for the ’observed’ SF’s deviation relative to those obtained from the homogenously-sampled light curves. We tested the regression models on different observing strategies: the optical dataset of long light-curves of eight AGN with peculiarities and the artificial datasets based on several idealized and LSST-like cadences. The SFs metric is assessed on synthetic datasets. The regression models (for both data types) predict similar cadences for time-lags and oscillation detection, whereas for light curves with low variability ($\sim 10\%$), cadences for oscillation detection differ. For higher variability ($\sim 20\%$), predicted cadences are larger than for $F_{var}\sim 10\%$. The predicted cadences are decreasing with redshift. SFs with dense and homogenous cadences are more likely to behave similarly. SFs with oscillatory signals are sensitive to the cadences, possibly impacting LSST-like operation strategy. The proposed proxies can help to select spectroscopic and photometric-surveys cadence strategies, and they will be tested further in larger samples of objects.
Here we confirm the short periodic variability of a subparsec supermassive binary black hole (SMBBH) candidate Mrk 231 in the extended optical photometric data set collected by the Catalina Real-Time Transient Survey (CRTS) and All-Sky Automated Survey for Supernovae (ASAS-SN). Using the Lomb-Scargle periodogram and 2DHybrid method, we detected the significant periodicity of ∼ 1.1 yr beyond a damped random walk model in the CRTS+ASAS-SN optical data set. Mrk 231 has been previously proposed as a SMBBH candidate with a highly unequal mass ratio (q ∼ 0.03), very tight mutual separation of ∼ 590 AU, and an orbital period of ∼ 1.2 yr. Hence, our result further supports, even though not prove, the intriguing hypothesis that SMBBHs with low mass ratios may be more common than close-equal mass SMBBHs. This result, however, was obtained from the contribution of CRTS data with limited sampling cadence and photometric accuracy, and further monitoring of Mrk 231 is crucial to confirm the periodicity.
The Vera C. Rubin Observatory’s Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will detect an unprecedentedly large sample of actively accreting supermassive black holes with typical accretion disk (AD) sizes of a few light days. This brings us to face challenges in the reverberation mapping (RM) measurement of AD sizes in active galactic nuclei using interband continuum delays. We examine the effect of LSST cadence strategies on AD RM using our metric AGN_TimeLagMetric. It accounts for redshift, cadence, the magnitude limit, and magnitude corrections for dust extinction. Running our metric on different LSST cadence strategies, we produce an atlas of the performance estimations for LSST photometric RM measurements. We provide an upper limit on the estimated number of quasars for which the AD time lag can be computed within 0 < z < 7 using the features of our metric. We forecast that the total counts of such objects will increase as the mean sampling rate of the survey decreases. The AD time lag measurements are expected for >1000 sources in each deep drilling field (DDF; (10 deg2)) in any filter, with the redshift distribution of these sources peaking at z ≈ 1. We find the LSST observation strategies with a good cadence (≲5 days) and a long cumulative season (∼9 yr), as proposed for LSST DDF, are favored for the AD size measurement. We create synthetic LSST light curves for the most suitable DDF cadences and determine RM time lags to demonstrate the impact of the best cadences based on the proposed metric.
The upcoming photometric surveys, such as the Rubin Observatory's Legacy Survey of Space and Time (LSST) will monitor unprecedented number of active galactic nuclei (AGN) in a decade-long campaign. Motivated by the science goals of LSST, which includes the harnessing of broadband light curves of AGN for photometric reverberation mapping (PhotoRM), we implement the existing formalism to estimate the lagged response of the emission line flux to the continuum variability using only multi-band photometric light curves. We test the PhotoRM method on a set of 19 artificial light curves simulated using a stochastic model based on the damped random walk process. These light curves are sampled using different observing strategies, including the two proposed by the LSST, in order to compare the accuracy of time-lag retrieval based on different observing cadences. In addition, we apply the same procedure for time-lag retrieval to the observed photometric light curves of NGC 4395, and compare our results to the existing literature.
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