To identify pretransplant factors that are influencing survival after orthotopic liver transplantation a Cox proportional hazards regression model was applied to 118 children with chronic terminal liver failure transplanted at Medical School Hannover during the period of 1978 to 1994. The response variable was survival, as covariates a total of 19 pretransplant variables were entered--i.e. age, diagnosis (biliary cirrhosis, metabolic cirrhosis, postnecrotic cirrhosis, cryptogenetic cirrhosis) sex, laparotomy prior to OLT, height, weight, standard deviation scores for height and weight, date of first OLT, serum alanine aminotransferase, asparagine aminotransferase, albumin, total bilirubin, cholinesterase activity, glomerular filtration rate, and prothrombin time. Significant independent predictors of survival after OLT were bilirubin (P=0.0024), SDS for weight (P=0.034), and albumin (P=0.039). In a subsequent discriminant analysis cut off points for these variables could be identified--i.e., bilirubin >340 micromol/L, SDS for weight <-2.2 and albumin < 33 g/L. Patients with one or more of these risk factors were grouped as urgent indication group (n=76) and those with no risk factor as elective indication group (n=42). Comparing the posttransplantation survival in these groups there is a statistically significant difference at 1 year (57% vs. 90.5%) and 4 years (49% vs. 90.5%) after OLT (P=0.0001, log rank test). It is concluded that the risk of OLT is much higher if liver function is very poor. Optimal nutritional support prior to transplantation is mandatory to optimise the clinical status of the children and to improve the results of OLT.

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Summary:The absolute and relative concentrations of 16 plasma amino acids in 48 mostly dystrophic infants and children (median of age 1 1 A years) with extrahepatic biliary atresia and mainly stable preterminal cirrhosis were compared with those of controls. Patient plasma amino acid data were analysed statistically for diagnostic usefulness and correlated with standard biochemical quantities of liver function and of liver perfusion. In the patients the total amounts of non-essential and essential amino acids were reduced by 19%, and with the same significance (p < 0.0005). Plasma tyrosine was increased (+40%), while taurine (-44%) and branched chain amino acids (+28.8% to -34.7%) were decreased. Methionine values varied widely. In the molar fractional plasma amino acid profile, only alanine, valine, and leucine were decreased, while threonine, methionine, tyrosine, phenylalanine, ornithine, and serine were increased. Discriminate function analysis showed that the plasma amino acid data discriminated 93.8% of the patients from controls. The concentrations of some amino acids in plasma seemed to have been influenced by protein-calorie deficiency in the patients. The valine/tyrosine ratio and the Fischer index (ratio branched chain/aromatic amino acids) were significantly reduced in the patients versus controls (1.54 + 0.55 vs 3.08 + 0.55 and 1.66 + 0.39 vs 3.00 + 0.48). A number of significant correlations (range of r: 0.37 -0.59, p < 0.05, 30-48 data pairs) were calculated between plasma amino acid data and several standard biochemical quantities of liver function. The statistical analyses also showed that the Fischer index began to decrease gradually and linearly early in the progression of liver failure. It is concluded that plasma amino acid data can be useful in the evaluation of the progression of liver failure and possibly of the nutritional status in liver transplant candidates with biliary atresia.

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