The relationship between coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and Forbush decreases (FDs) has been investigated in the past. But the selection of both solar events are difficult. Researchers have developed manual and automated methods in efforts to identify CMEs as well as FDs. While scientists investigating CMEs have made significant advancement, leading to several CME catalogues, including manual and automated events catalogues, those analyzing FDs have recorded relatively less progress. Till date, there are no comprehensive manual FD catalogues, for example. There are also paucity of automated FD lists. Many investigators, therefore, attempt to manually select FDs which are subsequently used in the analysis of the impact of CMEs on galactic cosmic-ray (GCR) flux depressions. However, some of the CME versus FD correlation results might be biased since manual event identification is usually subjective, unable to account for the presence of solar-diurnal anisotropy which characterizes GCR flux variations. The current paper investigates the relation between CMEs and FDs with emphasis on accurate and careful Forbush event selection.
In principle, the EM wave propagation characteristics during quiet or disturbed air conditions are straightforwardly determined by the state of atmospheric refractivity. Nevertheless, atmospheric refractivity varies in time and space more or less randomly. Therefore the statistics of atmospheric refractivity and related propagation effects are of main interest. This work clearly investigates the major difference between radio refractivity changes for quiet and disturbed days during dry and rainy season for Minna. Radio refractivity values were calculated from measured meteorological parameters (relative humidity, temperature and pressure) at Minna, in 2008. The result showed that, there is a sharp decrease in radio refractivity at the early hour of the day (6:00hr) during dry season, while during rainy season, the sharp decrease occurred at the noon time (13:00hr). The result equally showed that radio refractivity has higher values ~388N-units during rainy season than during dry season with the highest value of ~318N-units. This is due to decrease in relative humidity during dry season than during rainy season.
The need to study the variations of climate change in Nigeria becomes necessary at a time the universe and Nigerians, in particular are passing through challenges due to climate change as a result of emissions. The atmospheric gases have a greater transparency for incoming solar radiation, while the outgoing are trapped and re-emitted back to the Earth. This study correlated between global solar radiation and greenhouse gases over Nigeria using neural network. The results showed that positive correlations exist between solar radiations: CO2 and CH4 respectively, while exhibiting negative correlations with tropospheric ozone and water vapour. Consequently, an increase in 0.1017, 0.1350 units of CO2 and CH4, respectively could enhance the trapping and transmission of solar radiation in the atmosphere, while an increase of 1.1234 and 0.1530 units of tropospheric ozone and water vapour could cause absorption of solar radiation. The trapped energy is re-radiated back to the Earth, this warms up the atmosphere and the surface of the Earth resulting to global warming. Coefficient of determination revealed that 18%, 30%, 20%, and 29%, of the variances of solar radiation being studied is explained by the variance of the water vapour, tropospheric O3, CO2, and CH4, respectively.
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